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Championship
Referee: J Linington
Nott'm Forest
U U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Cardiff
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 22. · Cardiff 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 QPR 2 1 0 1 +1 3
4 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Luton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Coventry 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Cardiff
3′
K. Moore 0–1
M. Pack
L. Taylor 🔁
↦ J. Lolley
36′
40′
K. Moore 0–2
S. Morrison
Half-time 0–2
Guerrero 🔁
↦ L. Grabban
74′
74′
🔁 W. Vaulks
↦ S. Ojo
77′
🔁 L. Tomlin
↦ J. Hoilett
A. Mighten 🔁
↦ C. Jenkinson
80′
82′
🔁 S. Bamba
↦ J. Bennett
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
30 B. Samba G
16 C. Jenkinson D
3 Tobias Figueiredo D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
4 J. Worrall D
8 J. Colback M
15 L. Freeman M
11 S. Ameobi M
22 R. Yates M
7 L. Grabban F
23 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
33 L. Taylor
19 Guerrero
17 A. Mighten
12 J. Smith
27 T. Darikwa
20 M. Dawson
40 B. Johnson

Coach: S. Lamouchi

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
12 A. Smithies G
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
16 C. Nelson D
2 J. Osei-Tutu D
7 L. Bacuna M
21 M. Pack M
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett M
10 K. Moore F
27 S. Ojo M
Bench (7)
6 W. Vaulks
17 L. Tomlin
22 S. Bamba
20 G. Whyte
25 J. Day
9 R. Glatzel
13 C. Paterson

Coach: N. Harris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U
3,17
B ✓
2,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.