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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Brest
T U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Angers
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 18. · Angers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Angers 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Marseille 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Clermont 5 2 2 1 +0 8
5 Lorient 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Nice 3 2 1 0 +8 7
7 Montpellier 5 2 1 2 +2 7
8 Lens 4 1 3 0 +2 6
9 Rennes 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Lyon 4 1 2 1 -2 5
11 Lille 5 1 2 2 -4 5
12 Nantes 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Strasbourg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Monaco 5 1 1 3 -4 4
15 Metz 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Reims 4 0 3 1 -2 3
17 St Etienne 5 0 3 2 -4 3
18 Brest 4 0 2 2 -4 2
19 Bordeaux 4 0 2 2 -6 2
20 Troyes 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brest Angers
24′
🟨 Souleyman Doumbia
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
Franck Honorat 🟨
46′
52′
🔁 E. Ebosse
↦ S. Doumbia
1–0 R. Faivre
62′
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
64′
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ R. Del Castillo
74′
J. Faussurier 🔁
↦ F. Honorat
75′
78′
T. Mangani 1–1
79′
🔁 A. Ounahi
↦ A. Fulgini
79′
🔁 P. Capelle
↦ T. Mangani
86′
🔁 S. Bahoken
↦ M. Cho
87′
🟨 Jimmy Cabot
87′
🔁 F. El Melali
↦ S. Boufal
R. Said Ahamada 🔁
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
88′
H. Belkebla 🔁
↦ L. Agoume
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brest

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
5 B. Chardonnet D
2 J. Duverne D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
3 L. Brassier D
21 R. Faivre M
28 H. Mananga Mbock M
10 L. Agoume M
9 F. Honorat M
25 R. Del Castillo M
14 I. Cardona F
Bench (8)
29 Y. Badji
26 J. Le Douaron
22 J. Faussurier
19 R. Said Ahamada
7 H. Belkebla
17 D. Bain
1 G. Larsonneur
27 H. Magnetti

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Angers

3-4-1-2
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia M
2 B. Mendy M
5 T. Mangani M
7 S. Boufal F
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini F
21 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
6 E. Ebosse
18 A. Ounahi
15 P. Capelle
19 S. Bahoken
28 F. El Melali
9 C. Ninga
30 D. Petković
27 Mathias Lage
26 W. Taibi

Coach: G. Baticle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,38
B
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.