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Championship

Referee: T Bramall

Peterborough

T S

2–2

Full-time

Cardiff

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Peterborough Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

This season — Championship · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Peterborough 16. · Cardiff 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Cardiff	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	QPR	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Middlesbrough	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Blackburn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Peterboro	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Hull	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Peterborough	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Millwall	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Sheffield United	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Derby	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Blackpool	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-4	1
24	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-2	0
25	Preston	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Peterboro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Hull	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Derby	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Peterboro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Peterborough Cardiff

44′

🟨 Marlon Pack

45′

🟨 Aden Flint

Half-time 1–0

1–0 H. Burrows ⚽

J. Clarke-Harris

49′

2–0 S. Dembélé ⚽

J. Clarke-Harris

51′

E. Hamilton 🔁

↦ M. Beevers

61′

63′

🔁 K. Moore

↦ P. Ng

J. Marriott 🔁

↦ S. Dembélé

68′

77′

🔁 M. Harris

↦ J. Collins

77′

🔁 R. Colwill

↦ L. Bacuna

J. Randall 🔁

↦ J. Clarke-Harris

81′

83′

⚽ A. Flint 2–1

M. Pack

Joe Ward 🟨

87′

96′

⚽ A. Flint 2–2

M. Pack

Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Peterborough

3-4-1-2

1 C. Pym G

5 M. Beevers D

4 N. Thompson D

3 D. Butler M

6 F. Kent D

J. Knight M

18 O. Norburn M

J. Ward M

10 S. Dembélé F

H. Burrows F

9 J. Clarke-Harris F

Bench (7)

22 E. Hamilton

14 J. Marriott

26 J. Randall

13 D. Cornell

19 I. Kanu

21 J. Tomlinson

2 R. Edwards

Coach: D. Ferguson

Cardiff

3-4-3

D. Phillips G

4 S. Morrison D

5 A. Flint D

16 C. Nelson D

P. Ng M

J. Bagan M

7 L. Bacuna F

M. Pack M

8 J. Ralls M

R. Giles F

19 J. Collins F

Bench (7)

10 K. Moore

29 M. Harris

27 R. Colwill

28 T. Sang

11 J. Murphy

25 A. Smithies

6 W. Vaulks

Coach: M. McCarthy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

14. Aug CH 5 years ago

7. Aug CH 5 years ago

Referee

T Bramall · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

22,1 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Peterborough

Cardiff

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee