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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Osasuna

T T U U S

1–4

Full-time

Valencia

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 9. · Valencia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Valencia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Osasuna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Villarreal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Levante	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Cadiz	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Betis	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Elche	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Granada	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Celta	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Levante	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Betis	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Elche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.