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Championship
Referee: T Harrington
Birmingham
T T U U U
1–2
Full-time
Barnsley
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
1,6
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
5 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 17. · Barnsley 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 14 8 4 2 +7 28
2 Bournemouth 14 7 6 1 +10 27
3 Watford 14 7 5 2 +8 26
4 Reading 14 8 2 4 +5 26
5 Swansea 13 7 4 2 +8 25
6 Bristol City 14 7 3 4 +3 24
7 Brentford 13 6 4 3 +7 22
8 Stoke 14 6 4 4 +3 22
9 Blackburn 14 6 3 5 +11 21
10 Middlesbrough 14 5 6 3 +5 21
11 Cardiff 15 5 5 5 +7 20
12 Millwall 14 4 8 2 +2 20
13 Luton 14 5 4 5 -6 19
14 Huddersfield 15 5 3 7 -4 18
15 QPR 14 4 5 5 -4 17
16 Barnsley 14 4 4 6 -1 16
17 Birmingham 14 3 7 4 -2 16
18 Preston 14 5 1 8 -4 16
19 Sheffield Weds 14 3 5 6 -5 14
20 Rotherham 14 3 4 7 -4 13
21 Coventry 14 3 4 7 -10 13
22 Nott'm Forest 14 3 3 8 -8 12
23 Wycombe 14 2 4 8 -13 10
24 Derby 14 1 4 9 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Barnsley
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Hogan
M. Colin
56′
58′
🟨 Mads Juel Andersen
Riley McGree 🟨
68′
71′
C. Woodrow 1–1
Jonathan Leko 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 R. Palmer
↦ A. Mowatt
77′
🔁 L. Thomas
↦ C. Chaplin
77′
🔁 M. James
↦ H. Kane
78′
🔁 D. Frieser
↦ V. Adeboyejo
Jérémie Bela 🔁
↦ K. Pedersen
80′
G. Friend 🔁
↦ J. Clarke-Salter
80′
I. Šunjić 🔁
↦ R. McGree
81′
84′
C. Styles 1–2
C. Woodrow
Jon Toral 🔁
↦ J. Leko
85′
L. Jutkiewicz 🔁
↦ S. Hogan
85′
86′
🔁 A. Halme
↦ C. Woodrow
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Birmingham

3-4-1-2
30 N. Etheridge G
12 H. Dean D
2 M. Colin M
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen M
15 J. Clarke-Salter D
19 San José M
17 Iván Sánchez M
18 R. McGree F
9 S. Hogan F
14 J. Leko F
Bench (9)
11 Jérémie Bela
5 G. Friend
34 I. Šunjić
23 Jon Toral
10 L. Jutkiewicz
20 G. Gardner
25 J. Cogley
6 M. Kieftenbeld
1 Andrés Prieto

Coach: Karanka

Barnsley

3-4-2-1
1 J. Walton G
26 M. Sollbauer D
30 M. Helik D
6 M. Andersen D
7 C. Brittain M
27 A. Mowatt M
8 H. Kane M
9 C. Woodrow F
29 V. Adeboyejo F
11 C. Chaplin F
4 C. Styles M
Bench (9)
21 R. Palmer
16 L. Thomas
32 M. James
28 D. Frieser
24 A. Halme
22 C. Oduor
40 B. Collins
25 G. Miller
19 P. Schmidt

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U
3,09
B ✓
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,41
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.