Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Birmingham
Barnsley
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norwich
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 28 |
| 2 |
Bournemouth
|
14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |
Watford
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 26 |
| 4 |
Reading
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |
Swansea
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 25 |
| 6 |
Bristol City
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 |
Stoke
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |
Blackburn
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 21 |
| 10 |
Middlesbrough
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 12 |
Millwall
|
14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 |
Luton
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 |
Huddersfield
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 |
QPR
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 |
Barnsley
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 17 |
Birmingham
|
14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 18 |
Preston
|
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -4 | 16 |
| 19 |
Sheffield Weds
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 |
Rotherham
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 |
Coventry
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 |
Nott'm Forest
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 23 |
Wycombe
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
| 24 |
Derby
|
14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Colin
M
J. Clarke-Salter
D
R. McGree
F
Coach: Karanka
J. Walton
G
M. Sollbauer
D
C. Brittain
M
A. Mowatt
M
C. Styles
M
Coach: V. Ismaël
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Birmingham
Millwall
Luton
Birmingham
Coventry
Birmingham
Birmingham
Bournemouth
Birmingham
Wycombe
T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.