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Eliteserien

Referee: K Hagenes

Stromsgodset

S U U U T

0–1

Full-time

Tromso

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

43%

67%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,71 xG 1,53

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 7. · Tromso 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	16	11	3	2	+23	+13.6	36
2	Brann	17	8	6	3	+5	+10.9	30
3	Molde	16	8	4	4	+13	+11.0	28
4	Viking	14	8	4	2	+10	+4.6	28
5	Fredrikstad	14	6	5	3	+7	+1.2	23
6	KFUM Oslo	15	5	6	4	+0	+4.7	21
7	Stromsgodset	14	5	4	5	-3	-4.1	19
8	Lillestrom	14	6	1	7	-6	-3.7	19
9	Ham-Kam	15	4	5	6	+1	-1.7	17
10	Kristiansund	15	4	5	6	-3	-7.3	17
11	Rosenborg	14	5	2	7	-7	-2.3	17
12	Sarpsborg 08	15	5	2	8	-8	-6.5	17
13	Haugesund	13	4	2	7	-6	-4.2	14
14	Tromso	15	4	2	9	-7	-6.0	14
15	Odd	16	3	5	8	-14	-9.5	14
16	Sandefjord	15	3	4	8	-5	-0.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	3	0	+12	+5.6	18
2	Viking	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.3	17
3	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
4	Molde	9	4	2	3	+6	+8.9	14
5	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+1	+1.5	13
6	Kristiansund	7	3	3	1	+3	+3.3	12
7	Stromsgodset	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
8	Fredrikstad	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.7	9
9	Sandefjord	7	3	0	4	+0	-0.2	9
10	Tromso	9	3	0	6	-2	-0.6	9
11	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	1	5	-8	-1.3	7
12	Lillestrom	7	2	1	4	-8	-3.6	7
13	Haugesund	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.9	6
14	Odd	8	1	3	4	-7	-1.8	6
15	Ham-Kam	6	1	2	3	-2	-2.0	5
16	KFUM Oslo	7	0	4	3	-6	+5.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	6	0	2	+11	+8.0	18
2	KFUM Oslo	8	5	2	1	+6	-0.4	17
3	Molde	7	4	2	1	+7	+2.0	14
4	Fredrikstad	8	4	2	2	+5	-0.5	14
5	Brann	8	3	4	1	+1	+1.0	13
6	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	+3	+0.3	12
7	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+2	-0.1	12
8	Viking	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.3	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+0	-5.1	10
10	Stromsgodset	8	3	1	4	-5	-3.6	10
11	Haugesund	6	2	2	2	-1	-3.2	8
12	Odd	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.7	8
13	Tromso	6	1	2	3	-5	-5.3	5
14	Kristiansund	8	1	2	5	-6	-10.6	5
15	Sandefjord	8	0	4	4	-5	-0.5	4
16	Rosenborg	7	1	1	5	-8	-3.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.