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Europa League
Referee: I Kovács
Molde
T T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Elfsborg
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Jul -22 Elfsborg – Molde 1–2 21. Jul -22 Molde – Elfsborg 4–1

Match report

Molde Elfsborg
15′
⚽ A. Qasem 0–1
M. Baidoo
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik 🟨
26′
43′
🟨 Ahmed Qasem
Half-time 0–1
E. Haugan 🔁
↦ C. Øyvann
46′
M. Enggård 🔁
↦ E. Breivik
46′
61′
🔁 P. Frick
↦ A. Qasem
Valdemar Lund 🟨
63′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ M. Kaasa
72′
76′
🔁 E. Holten
↦ P. Frick
F. Ihler 🔁
↦ M. Eikrem
77′
Eirik Haugan 🟨
84′
89′
🟨 Isak Pettersson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
22 A. Posiadała G
3 C. Øyvann D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
4 V. Lund D
18 H. Stenevik M
16 E. Breivik M
17 M. Møller Dæhli M
15 M. Kaasa M
31 M. Løvik M
7 M. Eikrem F
20 K. Eriksen M
Bench (12)
19 E. Haugan
10 M. Enggård
14 V. Berisha
9 F. Ihler
29 G. Nyheim
6 A. Roaldsøy
11 A. Olanare
34 S. McDermott
5 E. Hestad
23 S. Granaas
26 I. Amundsen
33 N. Ødegård

Coach: E. Moe

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmén D
29 I. Buhari D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
27 B. Zeneli M
16 T. Ouma M
23 N. Hult D
14 J. Abdullai F
10 M. Baidoo M
18 A. Qasem M
Bench (12)
17 P. Frick
12 E. Holten
9 A. Zeneli
28 L. Östman
7 J. Thomasen
6 A. Baldursson
30 M. Bundgaard
13 J. Larsson
26 L. Richtnér
11 E. Guðmundsson
19 R. Kaib
4 G. Henriksson

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovács · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.