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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
2–3
Full-time
Antwerp
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 32/31 matches
Win Ø 40%
22%
58%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
38%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
47%
65%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
21 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 17. · Antwerp 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 21 5 4 +46 68
2 Antwerp 31 18 7 6 +18 61
3 Genk 32 16 10 6 +23 58
4 Waregem 37 18 4 15 -2 58
5 Beerschot VA 37 16 6 15 -3 54
6 Mechelen 31 15 7 9 +7 52
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 10 12 +0 52
8 Gent 31 14 6 11 +18 48
9 Oostende 31 14 6 11 +6 48
10 Kortrijk 37 14 6 17 -5 48
11 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
12 Charleroi 37 11 12 14 -4 45
13 Eupen 37 10 15 12 -11 45
14 Cercle Brugge 37 14 2 21 -7 44
15 Standard 31 11 9 11 +4 42
16 St Truiden 37 11 9 17 -11 42
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
18 Mouscron 33 7 10 16 -20 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 33 7 7 19 -27 28
20 Beveren 33 7 7 19 -27 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Antwerp
22′
D. Mbokani 0–1
Buta
Fabrice Olinga 🟨
38′
41′
🟥 Maxime Le Marchand
Half-time 0–2
48′
D. Mbokani 0–2
D. Lamkel Zé
1–2 F. Olinga
S. Tabekou
49′
62′
A. Seck 1–3
L. Refaelov
Bruno Xadas 🔁
↦ D. Hočko
67′
I. Faraj 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
68′
H. Gnohéré 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
77′
78′
🟨 Ortwin De Wolf
Nuno Da Costa 🟨
81′
Saad Agouzoul 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 F. Boya
↦ D. Mbokani
2–3 H. Harbaoui
88′
91′
🔁 P. Gerkens
↦ L. Refaelov
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-4-2
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 A. Ciranni D
5 S. Agouzoul D
6 D. Hočko M
11 D. Mohamed D
7 F. Olinga M
30 B. Van Durmen M
9 H. Harbaoui F
20 Nuno da Costa F
70 S. Tabekou M
Bench (7)
23 Bruno Xadas
14 I. Faraj
31 H. Gnohéré
2 K. Dabila
40 W. Simba
90 V. Vasić
39 D. Nlandu

Coach: Jorge Simão

Antwerp

3-4-2-1
97 O. De Wolf G
2 R. De Laet M
31 M. Le Marchand D
21 D. Batubinsika D
30 Buta M
4 A. Seck D
11 L. Refaelov F
5 B. Verstraete M
18 M. Hongla Yma M
70 D. Mbokani F
7 D. Lamkel Zé F
Bench (7)
15 F. Boya
16 P. Gerkens
94 J. Lukaku
22 B. Nsimba
14 N. De Pauw
46 J. Butez
19 K. Miyoshi

Coach: F. Vercauteren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.