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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
St Truiden
S T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Royal Excel Mouscron
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

75% Possession 25%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Mar -19 Royal Excel Mouscron – St Truiden 1–1 6. Oct -18 St Truiden – Royal Excel Mouscron 3–1 2. Dec -17 Royal Excel Mouscron – St Truiden 1–1 26. Oct -17 St Truiden – Royal Excel Mouscron 1–0 3. Dec -16 St Truiden – Royal Excel Mouscron 1–0

Match report

St Truiden Royal Excel Mouscron
20′
🟨 Noë Dussenne
Alexandre De Bruyn 🟨
25′
Wolke Janssens 🟨
37′
38′
⚽ F. Olinga 0–1
Half-time 0–1
H. Masoudi 🔁
↦ Alan Sousa
46′
54′
🟨 Deni Hočko
59′
🟨 Frank Boya
64′
🔁 J. Osabutey
↦ S. Allagui
Y. Boli 🔁
↦ E. Acolatse
73′
77′
🔁 A. Ciranni
↦ Joan Campins
87′
🔁 B. Van Durmen
↦ D. Mohamed
90′
🟨 Nathan De Medina
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-4-3
1 K. Steppe G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
29 E. Acolatse F
4 Pol García D
33 W. Endo D
7 J. Botaka F
12 S. Asamoah M
14 A. De Bruyn
22 W. Janssens F
50 Alan Sousa
30 N. Balongo F
Bench (7)
70 H. Masoudi
11 Y. Boli
27 M. Troonbeeckx
19 S. Van Dessel
15 Nguyễn Công Phượng
35 T. Herbots
28 T. De Smet

Coach: M. Brys

Royal Excel Mouscron

3-5-2
90 V. Vasić G
2 N. Dussenne D
3 N. Antonov D
31 B. Godeau D
22 Joan Campins D
4 N. De Medina
6 D. Hočko M
11 D. Mohamed M
15 F. Boya M
9 S. Allagui F
7 F. Olinga F
Bench (7)
45 J. Osabutey
13 A. Ciranni
30 B. Van Durmen
23 F. Pierrot
25 R. Pietrzak
16 C. Libertiaux
32 Jonathan Buatu

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.