Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Clermont
Auxerre
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Troyes
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 41 |
| 2 |
Toulouse
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | +16 | 39 |
| 3 |
Clermont
|
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | +20 | 37 |
| 4 |
Auxerre
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +18 | 36 |
| 5 |
Grenoble
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +10 | 35 |
| 6 |
Paris FC
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 32 |
| 7 |
Sochaux
|
20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 8 |
Amiens
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 28 |
| 9 |
Caen
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 |
Valenciennes
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 27 |
| 11 |
Ajaccio
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 |
Niort
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 |
Le Havre
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 |
Guingamp
|
20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 |
Dunkerque
|
20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | -11 | 21 |
| 16 |
Nancy
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -6 | 19 |
| 17 | Chambly | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -8 | 19 |
| 18 |
Rodez
|
20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -10 | 19 |
| 19 |
Pau FC
|
20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -16 | 14 |
| 20 |
Chateauroux
|
20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -17 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Clermont
Dunkerque
Sochaux
Clermont
Clermont
Grenoble
Chateauroux
Clermont
Clermont
Paris FC
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.