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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Huesca
U T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Villarreal
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
5%
42%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
26%
47%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
5 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 20. · Villarreal 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Real Madrid 18 11 4 3 +15 37
3 Barcelona 18 10 4 4 +20 34
4 Villarreal 19 8 9 2 +9 33
5 Sevilla 18 10 3 5 +7 33
6 Sociedad 19 8 6 5 +13 30
7 Granada 19 8 4 7 -8 28
8 Betis 19 8 2 9 -8 26
9 Cadiz 19 6 6 7 -7 24
10 Levante 19 5 8 6 -1 23
11 Getafe 18 6 5 7 -2 23
12 Celta 19 6 5 8 -7 23
13 Ath Bilbao 18 6 3 9 -1 21
14 Valencia 19 4 8 7 -1 20
15 Valladolid 20 4 8 8 -9 20
16 Eibar 19 4 7 8 -4 19
17 Alaves 19 4 6 9 -8 18
18 Elche 17 3 8 6 -7 17
19 Osasuna 19 3 7 9 -12 16
20 Huesca 19 1 9 9 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Villarreal
Javier Ontiveros 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
Dani Escriche 🟨
55′
Rafa Mir 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
56′
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Dani Escriche
57′
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ S. Okazaki
57′
61′
🔁 Yeremi Pino
↦ Manu Trigueros
62′
🔁 Paco Alcácer
↦ C. Bacca
73′
🟨 Étienne Capoue
Pedro López 🔁
↦ Pablo Maffeo
74′
76′
🔁 P. Estupiñán
↦ Pedraza
76′
🔁 F. Coquelin
↦ E. Capoue
Luisinho 🔁
↦ G. Silva
83′
84′
🔁 Fer Niño
↦ Ramiro Funes Mori
Luisinho 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Huesca

3-4-3
1 Álvaro Fernández G
18 D. Siovas D
14 Jorge Pulido D
22 G. Silva D
3 Pablo Maffeo M
11 Javier Galán M
20 Jaime Seoane M
15 Javi Ontiveros F
2 I. Doumbia M
12 S. Okazaki F
23 Dani Escriche F
Bench (9)
9 Rafa Mir
17 Mikel Rico
10 Sergio Gómez
19 Pedro López
16 Luisinho
7 David Ferreiro
40 Javier Gasca
26 K. Nwakali
24 Borja García

Coach: Pacheta

Villarreal

3-4-2-1
1 Asenjo G
3 Albiol D
6 Ramiro Funes Mori D
4 Pau Torres D
25 E. Capoue M
5 Dani Parejo M
23 Moi Gómez F
14 Manu Trigueros F
20 Rubén Peña M
24 Pedraza M
9 C. Bacca F
Bench (9)
30 Yeremi Pino
17 Paco Alcácer
15 P. Estupiñán
19 F. Coquelin
34 Fer Niño
12 Dani Raba
13 G. Rulli
35 F. Jörgensen
32 Álex Baena

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,46
U ✓
3,59
B
1,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.