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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Millwall
T U S S U
2–0
Full-time
Reading
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Championship · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 38%
37%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
44%
46%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
22 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 7. · Reading 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 27 14 11 2 +20 53
2 Leeds 28 15 7 6 +19 52
3 Fulham 26 14 5 7 +13 47
4 Nott'm Forest 26 12 8 6 +9 44
5 Sheffield Weds 27 12 6 9 +13 42
6 Swansea 25 11 9 5 +7 42
7 Millwall 27 10 11 6 +2 41
8 Bristol City 27 11 8 8 +1 41
9 Preston 27 11 7 9 +4 40
10 Hull 27 11 6 10 +5 39
11 QPR 28 11 5 12 -5 38
12 Brentford 24 11 4 9 +17 37
13 Blackburn 27 10 7 10 +0 37
14 Cardiff 26 9 10 7 -2 37
15 Reading 26 10 6 10 +5 36
16 Middlesbrough 28 8 10 10 -7 34
17 Derby 27 8 10 9 -8 34
18 Birmingham 27 9 5 13 -11 32
19 Charlton 27 7 8 12 -3 29
20 Huddersfield 27 7 7 13 -13 28
21 Stoke 27 7 4 16 -9 25
22 Barnsley 27 5 9 13 -15 24
23 Wigan 27 5 8 14 -17 23
24 Luton 27 6 3 18 -25 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Reading
Tom Bradshaw 🟨
19′
33′
🟨 Charlie Adam
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 J. Obita
↦ C. Adam
59′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ S. Baldock
C. Mahoney 🔁
↦ S. Ferguson
68′
70′
🟨 Ovie Ejaria
1–0 M. Smith
71′
75′
🔁 G. McCleary
↦ Pelé
J. Böðvarsson 🔁
↦ M. Smith
79′
80′
🟨 Michael Morrison
2–0 J. Böðvarsson
J. Wallace
82′
B. Mitchell 🔁
↦ R. Woods
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Millwall

4-4-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 S. Hutchinson D
3 M. Wallace D
12 M. Romeo D
5 J. Cooper D
11 S. Ferguson M
7 J. Wallace M
19 R. Woods M
16 J. Molumby M
9 T. Bradshaw F
10 M. Smith F
Bench (7)
21 C. Mahoney
23 J. Böðvarsson
42 B. Mitchell
1 F. Fielding
15 A. Pearce
26 J. Skalák
22 A. O'Brien

Coach: G. Rowett

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
2 C. Gunter D
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
24 T. Blackett D
26 C. Adam M
29 Pelé M
10 J. Swift M
19 Y. Meïté M
14 O. Ejaria M
9 S. Baldock F
Bench (7)
11 J. Obita
47 G. Puşcaş
12 G. McCleary
16 T. Mcintyre
8 A. Rinomhota
1 S. Walker
5 M. Miazga

Coach: M. Bowen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,21
B
3,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.