Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Millwall
Reading
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
West Brom
|
27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | +20 | 53 |
| 2 |
Leeds
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +19 | 52 |
| 3 |
Fulham
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +13 | 47 |
| 4 |
Nott'm Forest
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +9 | 44 |
| 5 |
Sheffield Weds
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +7 | 42 |
| 7 |
Millwall
|
27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +1 | 41 |
| 9 |
Preston
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 10 |
Hull
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 39 |
| 11 |
QPR
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | -5 | 38 |
| 12 |
Brentford
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +17 | 37 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +0 | 37 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | -2 | 37 |
| 15 |
Reading
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 36 |
| 16 |
Middlesbrough
|
28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | -7 | 34 |
| 17 |
Derby
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 34 |
| 18 |
Birmingham
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -11 | 32 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 29 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -13 | 28 |
| 21 |
Stoke
|
27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -9 | 25 |
| 22 |
Barnsley
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -15 | 24 |
| 23 |
Wigan
|
27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -17 | 23 |
| 24 |
Luton
|
27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | -25 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Cooper
D
J. Wallace
M
J. Molumby
M
Coach: G. Rowett
J. Swift
M
Coach: M. Bowen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stoke
Millwall
Millwall
Luton
Millwall
Brentford
Cardiff
Millwall
Millwall
Barnsley
K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.