Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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West Ham
Everton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | +36 | 61 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | +37 | 47 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | +26 | 45 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +10 | 39 |
| 5 |
Man United
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 34 |
| 6 |
Sheffield United
|
22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | +3 | 32 |
| 7 |
Tottenham
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | +5 | 31 |
| 8 |
Wolves
|
22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 9 |
Crystal Palace
|
22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 |
Arsenal
|
22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 11 |
Everton
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 |
Southampton
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -12 | 28 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 |
Brighton
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 |
Burnley
|
22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |
Watford
|
23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 |
West Ham
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 |
Aston Villa
|
22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 |
Bournemouth
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 20 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -23 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Diop
D
D. Rice
M
Pablo Fornals
M
Coach: D. Moyes
J. Pickford
G
L. Digne
D
Y. Mina
D
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
M. Kean
F
Coach: C. Ancelotti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield United
West Ham
West Ham
Bournemouth
West Ham
Leicester
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Southampton
West Ham
Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.