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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Alanyaspor
S T U S S
5–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
3,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,5
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
47%
12%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
41%
65%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
65%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
0,9
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Alanyaspor 6. · Kayserispor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 17 11 4 2 +19 37
2 Buyuksehyr 17 9 6 2 +15 33
3 Trabzonspor 17 9 5 3 +16 32
4 Fenerbahce 17 9 4 4 +13 31
5 Besiktas 17 9 3 5 +5 30
6 Alanyaspor 17 8 5 4 +15 29
7 Galatasaray 17 7 6 4 +8 27
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 6 6 5 +10 24
9 Gaziantep 17 6 6 5 -2 24
10 Goztep 17 6 5 6 -1 23
11 Denizlispor 17 6 4 7 -4 22
12 Rizespor 17 6 2 9 -10 20
13 Genclerbirligi 17 4 6 7 -4 18
14 Konyaspor 18 4 6 8 -8 18
15 Kasimpasa 17 4 3 10 -8 15
16 Antalyaspor 17 3 5 9 -18 14
17 Ankaragücü 18 2 6 10 -20 12
18 Kayserispor 17 2 4 11 -26 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Kayserispor
1–0 G. Tzavellas
S. Caulker
38′
45′
🟨 Hasan Hüseyin Acar
45′
🟥 Zoran Kvržić
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Brice Dja Djédjé
2–0 A. Bakasetas
59′
3–0 P. Cissé
E. Siopis
62′
65′
🔁 Pedro Henrique
↦ H. Acar
65′
🔁 Gustavo Campanharo
↦ A. Aktaş
J. Fernándes 🔁
↦ A. Bakasetas
68′
O. Bulut 🔁
↦ Baiano
68′
C. Gülselam 🔁
↦ S. Uçan
78′
79′
🔁 E. Demir
↦ C. Şahin
4–0 J. Fernándes
Djalma
84′
87′
Pedro Henrique 4–1
5–1 J. Fernándes
92′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
14 Baiano D
21 F. N'Sakala D
44 S. Caulker D
7 E. Karaca M
8 S. Uçan M
26 E. Siopis M
30 Djalma M
9 P. Cissé F
11 A. Bakasetas M
Bench (9)
10 J. Fernándes
25 O. Bulut
6 C. Gülselam
19 M. Pektemek
17 K. Kanak
27 U. Güneş
77 E. Altıntaş
34 E. Birniçan
99 Y. Bammou

Coach: E. Bulut

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1
95 İ. Çipe G
27 B. Dja Djédjé M
24 M. Kula D
32 Y. Subaşı D
38 B. Rienstra D
18 Z. Kvržić D
70 C. Şahin M
8 H. Acar M
20 A. Aktaş M
21 M. Mešanović F
92 M. Šitum M
Bench (10)
10 Pedro Henrique
88 Gustavo Campanharo
14 E. Demir
2 R. Civelek
5 A. Abdennour
44 O. Çapar
90 A. Uzodimma
1 H. Arıkan
11 A. Kravets
19 Ö. Uzun

Coach: O. Mahir

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
U
6,84
B
12,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,33
U2,5
3,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.