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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
3–2
Full-time
Gent
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

7 Corners 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 6. · Gent 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 4 0 0 +8 12
2 Waregem 4 3 0 1 +10 9
3 St Truiden 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Antwerp 4 2 1 1 +0 7
5 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Kortrijk 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Beveren 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Genk 2 1 1 0 +2 4
10 Anderlecht 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Mechelen 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 Lokeren 4 1 0 3 -6 3
13 Eupen 4 1 0 3 -7 3
14 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Standard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Oostende 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
8′
🟨 Deiver Machado
25′
B. Dejaegere 0–1
M. Sylla
Omar Govea 🟨
28′
30′
M. Sylla 0–2
B. Dejaegere
42′
🟨 Yuya Kubo
43′
🟥 Samuel Gigot
Taiwo Awoniyi 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
S. Amallah 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
46′
46′
🔁 A. Esiti
↦ Y. Kubo
M. Aidara 🔁
↦ A. Nkaka
59′
1–2 D. Mohamed
67′
71′
🔁 N. Asare
↦ M. Sylla
73′
🟨 Lovre Kalinić
A. Palić 🔁
↦ B. Godeau
78′
79′
🔁 L. Verstraete
↦ B. Dejaegere
2–2 O. Govea
T. Awoniyi
84′
3–2 J. Bolingi
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

54 L. Bailly G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
4 T. Mézague D
31 B. Godeau D
27 M. Vojvoda D
26 A. Nkaka D
11 D. Mohamed F
6 O. Govea M
7 F. Olinga F
18 T. Awoniyi F
10 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
21 S. Amallah
8 M. Aidara
20 A. Palić
9 Y. Mbombo
22 S. Locigno
33 J. Butez
25 C. Diedhiou

Coach: M. Rednic

Gent

91 L. Kalinić G
13 S. Mitrović D
2 S. Gigot D
11 D. Machado D
22 D. Bronn D
25 D. Marcq M
19 B. Dejaegere F
31 Y. Kubo F
9 M. Sylla F
27 M. Simon F
18 S. Kalu F
Bench (8)
44 A. Esiti
21 N. Asare
33 L. Verstraete
6 B. Verstraete
20 Y. Thoelen
24 N. Raskin
38 S. Horemans
77 D. Miličević

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.