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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
3–1
Full-time
Gent
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 42%
8%
75%
Points per game
0,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
42%
88%
Both score Ø 54%
33%
75%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

6 Corners 4
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 14. · Gent 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 9 7 2 0 +17 23
2 Antwerp 9 7 1 1 +8 22
3 Club Brugge 8 6 2 0 +15 20
4 Gent 8 6 1 1 +12 19
5 Anderlecht 8 6 1 1 +11 19
6 St Truiden 12 4 6 2 +3 18
7 Kortrijk 12 4 3 5 -2 15
8 Oostende 12 4 3 5 -7 15
9 Charleroi 12 4 2 6 -1 14
10 Standard 8 3 4 1 +5 13
11 Eupen 12 4 1 7 -9 13
12 Cercle Brugge 12 3 4 5 -9 13
13 Beveren 12 1 7 4 -3 10
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 1 3 8 -12 6
15 Lokeren 12 1 3 8 -13 6
16 Waregem 12 1 3 8 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
1–0 Selim Amallah
16′
Noe Dussenne 🟨
27′
Bruno Godeau 🔁
↦ Marko Bakić
42′
2–0 Benjamin van Durmen
45′
Half-time 2–0
59′
🔁 Jonathan Christian David
↦ Stallone Limbombe
68′
🔁 Aboubakary Koita
↦ Franko Andrijašević
3–0 Frantzdy Pierrot
76′
Fabrice Olinga 🔁
↦ Selim Amallah
77′
Fabrice Olinga 🟨
78′
84′
🔁 Taiwo Awoniyi
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
89′
Giorgi Chakvetadze 3–1
Yannis Mbombo 🔁
↦ Frantzdy Pierrot
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
33 Jean Butez G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
2 Noe Dussenne D
15 Frank Boya M
24 Nikola Gulan M
11 Dimitri Mohamed F
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
22 Marko Bakić M
10 Selim Amallah M
23 Frantzdy Pierrot F
21 Manuel Benson M
Bench (7)
16 Clement Libertiaux
13 Giorgos Galitsios
31 Bruno Godeau
28 Bilal Chibani
19 Andres Sarmiento
9 Yannis Mbombo
7 Fabrice Olinga

Coach: B. Storck

Gent

4-4-2
91 Lovre Kalinić G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
9 Stallone Limbombe M
4 Sigurd Rosted D
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
5 Igor Plastun D
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
44 Anderson Esiti M
23 Franko Andrijašević M
21 Nana Asare D
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
29 Thibault De Smet
76 Timothy Derijck
10 Renato Neto
18 Taiwo Awoniyi
16 Jonathan Christian David
22 Aboubakary Koita

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.