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Championship
Referee: A Davies
Birmingham
T U T T S
1–1
Full-time
Cardiff
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Championship · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 34%
33%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
56%
62%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 18. · Cardiff 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 27 14 11 2 +20 53
2 Leeds 28 15 7 6 +19 52
3 Fulham 26 14 5 7 +13 47
4 Nott'm Forest 26 12 8 6 +9 44
5 Sheffield Weds 27 12 6 9 +13 42
6 Swansea 25 11 9 5 +7 42
7 Millwall 27 10 11 6 +2 41
8 Bristol City 27 11 8 8 +1 41
9 Preston 27 11 7 9 +4 40
10 Hull 27 11 6 10 +5 39
11 QPR 28 11 5 12 -5 38
12 Brentford 24 11 4 9 +17 37
13 Blackburn 27 10 7 10 +0 37
14 Cardiff 26 9 10 7 -2 37
15 Reading 26 10 6 10 +5 36
16 Middlesbrough 28 8 10 10 -7 34
17 Derby 27 8 10 9 -8 34
18 Birmingham 27 9 5 13 -11 32
19 Charlton 27 7 8 12 -3 29
20 Huddersfield 27 7 7 13 -13 28
21 Stoke 27 7 4 16 -9 25
22 Barnsley 27 5 9 13 -15 24
23 Wigan 27 5 8 14 -17 23
24 Luton 27 6 3 18 -25 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Cardiff
1–0 J. Bellingham
Jérémie Bela
4′
32′
🔁 C. Paterson
↦ D. Ward
Half-time 1–0
61′
🟨 Lee Tomlin
63′
L. Tomlin 1–1
M. Pack
J. Maghoma 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
64′
68′
🟨 Jazz Richards
74′
🟨 Marlon Pack
G. Gardner 🔁
↦ J. Bellingham
80′
Gary Gardner 🟨
84′
84′
🔁 J. Ralls
↦ J. Hoilett
91′
🔁 R. Glatzel
↦ L. Tomlin
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
1 L. Camp G
5 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
11 Jérémie Bela M
18 K. Mrabti M
7 D. Crowley M
34 I. Šunjić M
22 J. Bellingham M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
19 J. Maghoma
20 G. Gardner
26 D. Davis
24 Álvaro Giménez
15 J. Montero
16 J. McEachran
27 C. Trueman

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
12 A. Smithies
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
21 J. Richards D
16 C. Nelson D
7 L. Bacuna M
15 M. Pack M
33 J. Hoilett M
17 L. Tomlin M
23 D. Ward F
20 G. Whyte M
Bench (7)
13 C. Paterson
8 J. Ralls
9 R. Glatzel
1 N. Etheridge
11 J. Murphy
5 A. Flint
6 W. Vaulks

Coach: N. Harris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,33
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.