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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Eupen
U U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Charleroi
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,0
This season — Pro League · 22/14 matches
Win Ø 39%
14%
64%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
68%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 16. · Charleroi 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 16 13 2 1 +25 41
2 Antwerp 22 9 8 5 +6 35
3 Anderlecht 13 10 2 1 +13 32
4 St Truiden 23 8 8 7 -5 32
5 Charleroi 14 9 4 1 +15 31
6 Kortrijk 23 8 5 10 -4 29
7 Beveren 22 8 4 10 +2 28
8 Gent 14 8 2 4 +13 26
9 Waregem 23 8 2 13 -6 26
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 23 7 5 11 -12 26
11 Oostende 22 7 4 11 -1 25
12 Lokeren 22 6 6 10 -10 24
13 Standard 16 5 6 5 -1 21
14 Genk 14 4 7 3 +2 19
15 Mechelen 23 4 6 13 -18 18
16 Eupen 22 3 7 12 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Charleroi
Luis Garcia 🟨
25′
35′
🟨 Dorian Dessoleil
0–1 F. N'Ganga
own goal
44′
Half-time 0–1
65′
🔁 E. Sağlık
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
69′
🔁 D. Lukebakio
↦ C. Benavente
Siebe Blondelle 🟨
82′
S. Gnaka 🔁
↦ F. Raspentino
83′
83′
🔁 D. Pollet
↦ R. Grange
D. Diagné 🔁
↦ M. Koné
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Eupen

1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
44 Marc Valiente D
4 J. Lotiès D
23 M. Tirpan D
18 N. Schouterden M
8 J. Amani M
10 Luis García F
19 F. Raspentino F
7 M. Koné F
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
24 S. Gnaka
5 D. Diagné
20 Y. Toyokawa
13 D. Mouchamps
14 A. Castro-Montes
25 G. Jamabo
30 B. Niasse

Coach: C. Makélélé

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
29 R. Grange M
14 C. Benavente M
22 G. Hendrickx M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
77 M. Fall F
9 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
28 E. Sağlık
46 D. Lukebakio
10 D. Pollet
6 G. Zajkov
13 C. Diandy
25 Nurio Fortuna
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.