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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Eupen
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Gent
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 24/15 matches
Win Ø 35%
17%
53%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
47%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 12
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 15. · Gent 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Antwerp 25 9 10 6 +5 37
3 Anderlecht 14 10 3 1 +13 33
4 Beveren 25 9 6 10 +3 33
5 St Truiden 24 8 9 7 -5 33
6 Charleroi 16 9 5 2 +14 32
7 Kortrijk 24 8 6 10 -4 30
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 8 5 11 -10 29
9 Gent 15 8 3 4 +13 27
10 Waregem 24 8 3 13 -6 27
11 Lokeren 25 7 6 12 -13 27
12 Oostende 24 7 4 13 -3 25
13 Standard 17 6 6 5 +2 24
14 Genk 16 5 8 3 +3 23
15 Eupen 24 4 8 12 -18 20
16 Mechelen 24 4 6 14 -20 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Gent
Mamadou Koné 🟨
9′
Remi Mulumba 🟨
36′
40′
🟨 Dylan Bronn
1–0 M. Koné
M. Tirpan
44′
Half-time 1–0
64′
🔁 R. Janga
↦ M. Sylla
S. Gnaka 🔁
↦ M. Tirpan
66′
Mamadou Koné 🟨
72′
Mamadou Koné 🟥
72′
78′
🔁 G. Chakvetadze
↦ Y. Kubo
J. Amani 🔁
↦ R. Mulumba
80′
Mbaye Leye 🟨
89′
D. Diagné 🔁
↦ M. Peybernes
89′
89′
R. Janga 1–1
B. Dejaegere
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eupen

3-4-3
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
44 Marc Valiente D
4 J. Lotiès D
3 M. Peybernes D
23 M. Tirpan D
6 R. Mulumba M
10 Luis García F
9 M. Leye F
7 M. Koné F
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
24 S. Gnaka
8 J. Amani
5 D. Diagné
14 A. Castro-Montes
19 F. Raspentino
30 B. Niasse
18 N. Schouterden

Coach: C. Makélélé

Gent

4-3-3
91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
2 S. Gigot D
22 D. Bronn D
23 F. Andrijašević M
19 B. Dejaegere M
6 B. Verstraete M
32 T. Foket M
31 Y. Kubo F
17 R. Yaremchuk F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (7)
14 R. Janga
7 G. Chakvetadze
4 S. Rosted
13 S. Mitrović
20 Y. Thoelen
24 N. Raskin
29 T. De Smet

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.