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Bundesliga

Referee: Sascha Stegemann

Hoffenheim

S U S U S

2–0

Full-time

Schalke 04

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

60%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

0 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 3. · Schalke 04 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Hoffenheim	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Hannover	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Augsburg	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Hertha	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	RB Leipzig	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	3	2	-3	6
12	Hamburg	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Stuttgart	5	2	0	3	-4	6
14	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
15	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Freiburg	5	0	3	2	-7	3
17	Werder Bremen	5	0	2	3	-4	2
18	FC Koln	5	0	0	5	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Augsburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Hoffenheim	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Mainz	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Freiburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Hannover	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	RB Leipzig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Werder Bremen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
15	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Stuttgart	3	0	0	3	-6	0
17	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-7	0
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.