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Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Royal Excel Mouscron

S S U S T

3–2

Full-time

Eupen

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,5

This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

57%

14%

Points per game

1,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

57%

86%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,6

2,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

4 Corners 5

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 5. · Eupen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	7	5	1	1	+3	16
2	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	Antwerp	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Waregem	7	4	1	2	+10	13
5	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Charleroi	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	Beveren	7	2	3	2	+5	9
8	Kortrijk	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	Genk	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Lokeren	7	2	1	4	-4	7
12	Gent	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Mechelen	7	0	4	3	-4	4
14	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-14	4
15	Standard	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	Oostende	8	0	2	6	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Waregem	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Anderlecht	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Genk	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Beveren	3	1	1	1	+3	4
11	Lokeren	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-5	4
13	Mechelen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Standard	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Oostende	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+8	6
5	Beveren	4	1	2	1	+2	5
6	Gent	4	1	1	2	+0	4
7	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Kortrijk	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Genk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Lokeren	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Anderlecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Standard	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Oostende	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Eupen	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.