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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Fulham
T S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Championship · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 41%
25%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
25%
43%
Both score Ø 46%
63%
29%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 13. · Middlesbrough 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 8 5 2 1 +11 17
2 Wolves 8 5 2 1 +5 17
3 Cardiff 8 5 2 1 +5 17
4 Preston 8 4 3 1 +6 15
5 Ipswich 7 5 0 2 +4 15
6 Sheffield United 8 5 0 3 +2 15
7 Bristol City 8 3 4 1 +5 13
8 Middlesbrough 7 4 1 2 +5 13
9 Sheffield Weds 8 3 4 1 +3 13
10 Nott'm Forest 8 4 0 4 -2 12
11 QPR 8 3 2 3 +0 11
12 Norwich 8 3 2 3 -4 11
13 Fulham 8 2 4 2 +1 10
14 Derby 7 3 1 3 +0 10
15 Millwall 8 2 3 3 +2 9
16 Aston Villa 7 2 3 2 +1 9
17 Hull 8 2 2 4 -1 8
18 Reading 7 2 2 3 -1 8
19 Burton Albion 8 2 2 4 -9 8
20 Barnsley 7 2 1 4 -3 7
21 Sunderland 8 1 3 4 -5 6
22 Brentford 8 0 4 4 -5 4
23 Birmingham 8 1 1 6 -8 4
24 Bolton 8 0 2 6 -12 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Middlesbrough
9′
🟨 Cyrus Christie
Kevin McDonald 🟨
22′
N. Kebano 🔁
↦ F. Ayité
42′
Half-time 0–0
A. Kamara 🔁
↦ S. Johansen
70′
76′
🔁 G. Friend
↦ Fábio
76′
🔁 A. Fletcher
↦ P. Bamford
1–0 A. Kamara
R. Sessegnon
86′
88′
C. Christie 1–1
A. Fletcher
89′
🔁 S. Downing
↦ B. Assombalonga
Rui Fonte 🟨
90′
I. Cissé 🔁
↦ O. Norwood
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
27 D. Button G
13 T. Ream D
26 T. Kalas D
3 R. Sessegnon D
8 S. Johansen M
6 K. McDonald M
11 F. Ayité F
16 O. Norwood M
2 R. Fredericks D
19 S. Ojo F
9 Rui Fonte F
Bench (7)
7 N. Kebano
47 A. Kamara
44 I. Cissé
1 M. Bettinelli
4 D. Odoi
22 Y. Mollo
23 Marcelo Djaló

Coach: S. Jokanović

Middlesbrough

4-4-2
25 D. Randolph G
2 Fábio D
22 C. Christie D
6 B. Gibson D
16 J. Howson M
8 A. Clayton M
21 M. Johnson M
30 L. Baker M
20 D. Fry D
9 B. Assombalonga F
11 P. Bamford F
Bench (7)
3 G. Friend
18 A. Fletcher
19 S. Downing
1 D. Konstantopoulos
5 R. Shotton
7 G. Leadbitter
62 M. Tavernier

Coach: G. Monk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.