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Pro League

Referee: Sebastien Delferiere

Standard

T S S U S

5–0

Full-time

Genk

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 46%

50%

42%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 66%

69%

62%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Standard 3. · Genk 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	18	5	4	+32	59
2	Anderlecht	27	17	4	6	+15	55
3	Standard	26	13	7	6	+9	46
4	Genk	26	11	11	4	+12	44
5	Gent	27	12	6	9	+14	42
6	Charleroi	27	11	9	7	+4	42
7	Kortrijk	30	12	6	12	+3	42
8	Antwerp	30	10	11	9	-2	41
9	Waregem	30	11	4	15	-5	37
10	St Truiden	30	9	10	11	-12	37
11	Oostende	30	10	6	14	+1	36
12	Beveren	30	9	8	13	-1	35
13	Lokeren	30	8	7	15	-16	31
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	30	8	6	16	-19	30
15	Eupen	30	6	9	15	-17	27
16	Mechelen	30	6	9	15	-18	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	12	1	1	+24	37
2	Standard	13	9	3	1	+7	30
3	Anderlecht	13	9	2	2	+12	29
4	St Truiden	15	8	3	4	+2	27
5	Kortrijk	15	7	5	3	+11	26
6	Gent	14	7	2	5	+9	23
7	Eupen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Genk	13	5	7	1	+8	22
9	Charleroi	13	5	7	1	+6	22
10	Beveren	15	6	3	6	+6	21
11	Antwerp	15	4	7	4	+3	19
12	Mechelen	15	5	4	6	-3	19
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	5	4	6	-6	19
14	Oostende	15	6	0	9	-1	18
15	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-8	17
16	Lokeren	15	2	4	9	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+3	26
2	Club Brugge	13	6	4	3	+8	22
3	Genk	13	6	4	3	+4	22
4	Antwerp	15	6	4	5	-5	22
5	Lokeren	15	6	3	6	-1	21
6	Waregem	15	6	2	7	+3	20
7	Charleroi	14	6	2	6	-2	20
8	Gent	13	5	4	4	+5	19
9	Oostende	15	4	6	5	+2	18
10	Standard	13	4	4	5	+2	16
11	Kortrijk	15	5	1	9	-8	16
12	Beveren	15	3	5	7	-7	14
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	3	2	10	-13	11
14	St Truiden	15	1	7	7	-14	10
15	Mechelen	15	1	5	9	-15	8
16	Eupen	15	0	4	11	-20	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.