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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Roda
S S T U S
2–3
Full-time
Den Haag
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 33/31 matches
Win Ø 30%
24%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
64%
61%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
55%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

58% Possession 42%
23 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 16. · Den Haag 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 26 4 3 +48 82
2 Ajax 33 24 4 5 +55 76
3 AZ Alkmaar 33 21 5 7 +28 68
4 Feyenoord 33 19 6 8 +36 63
5 Heerenveen 31 12 9 10 -2 45
6 Vitesse 29 12 8 9 +19 44
7 Zwolle 33 12 8 13 -6 44
8 Utrecht 29 11 10 8 -2 43
9 Den Haag 31 11 8 12 -8 41
10 Excelsior 33 11 7 15 -14 40
11 Heracles 33 10 9 14 -17 39
12 Groningen 33 8 13 12 +0 37
13 Willem II 33 10 6 17 -13 36
14 VVV Venlo 33 7 13 13 -18 34
15 NAC Breda 33 9 6 18 -16 33
16 Roda 33 8 6 19 -26 30
17 Sparta Rotterdam 33 7 6 20 -38 27
18 Twente 33 5 8 20 -26 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Den Haag
3′
B. Johnsen 0–1
23′
L. Immers 0–2
A. El Khayati
34′
B. Johnsen 0–3
S. Becker
Half-time 1–3
1–3 D. Schahin
W. Ndenge
56′
2–3 Simon Gustafson
61′
63′
🔁 M. Lorenzen
↦ B. Johnsen
63′
🔁 E. Hooi
↦ S. Becker
66′
🟨 Aaron Meijers
H. Dijkhuizen 🔁
↦ O. Gnjatić
73′
M. Engels 🔁
↦ J. Vansteenkiste
81′
92′
🔁 N. Kuipers
↦ E. Falkenburg
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Roda

4-3-3
1 H. Jurjus G
4 C. Kum D
3 P. Banggaard D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
15 O. Gnjatić M
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
27 D. Avdijaj F
Bench (12)
2 H. Dijkhuizen
14 M. Engels
5 A. van Peppen
11 G. van Velzen
16 F. Kurto
18 J. Vancamp
20 D. Werker
23 N. Rutjes
24 N. Souren
25 L. Milts
28 M. Ngombo
30 R. Novakovic

Coach: R. Molenaar

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 I. Groothuizen G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
7 S. Becker F
9 B. Johnsen F
26 T. Goppel F
Bench (10)
33 M. Lorenzen
77 E. Hooi
20 N. Kuipers
6 D. Gorter
14 D. Ladan
15 B. Kuipers
16 H. Asmelash
18 T. Coremans
21 E. Duplan
22 R. Zwinkels

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.