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Pro League
Genk
S S T S T
3–1
Full-time
Standard
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 39%
60%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
80%
83%
Both score Ø 82%
80%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,4
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 39%
60%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
80%
83%
Both score Ø 82%
80%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,4
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 6. · Standard 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
3 Anderlecht 6 5 1 0 +8 16
4 St Truiden 9 4 1 4 +3 13
5 Gent 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Genk 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Charleroi 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Waregem 6 3 0 3 +0 9
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 2 3 5 -4 9
10 Beveren 7 3 0 4 -7 9
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 2 2 3 -3 8
12 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
13 Kortrijk 7 1 4 2 -1 7
14 Westerlo 10 1 4 5 -9 7
15 Lokeren 8 1 1 6 -7 4
16 Standard 6 1 1 4 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Standard
1–0 C. Kabasele
L. Bailey
9′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Badibanga
↦ M. Milec
57′
🔁 J. De Sart
↦ S. Yatabaré
69′
🔁 M. Dossevi
↦ D. Andrade
2–0 I. de Camargo
T. Buffel
75′
3–0 T. Buffel
L. Bailey
78′
Pozuelo 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
79′
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ O. Ndidi
83′
S. Schrijvers 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
88′
90′
A. Knockaert 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Genk

26 L. Köteles
4 B. Hamalainen
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
41 T. Castagne
25 O. Ndidi
71 Y. Buyens
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
11 I. de Camargo
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
24 Pozuelo
28 B. Heynen
18 S. Schrijvers
1 M. Bizot
5 S. Walsh
7 T. Okriashvili
9 E. Ünal

Standard

16 Y. Thuram
37 J. Van Damme
5 Jorge Teixeira
27 D. Andrade
24 C. Fiore
60 S. Yatabaré
6 M. Milec
23 A. Trebel
18 I. Santini
7 A. Knockaert
9 R. Emond
Bench (7)
12 B. Badibanga
15 J. De Sart
17 M. Dossevi
8 F. Kasmi
10 M. Yattara
28 G. Hubert
36 D. Arslanagic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.