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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Charleroi
U U T T T
2–2
Full-time
Genk
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 43%
41%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 11. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 22 17 3 2 +28 54
2 Anderlecht 22 14 4 4 +13 46
3 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
4 Gent 22 12 5 5 +19 41
5 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
6 Genk 22 10 8 4 +11 38
7 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
8 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
9 Standard 22 10 6 6 +5 36
10 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
11 Charleroi 22 9 8 5 +10 35
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Genk
1–0 K. Rezaei
11′
2–0 M. Ilaimaharitra
M. Fall
22′
36′
I. Seck 2–1
Pozuelo
Half-time 2–2
59′
D. N'Dongala 2–2
Pozuelo
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ M. Fall
71′
72′
🔁 J. Mæhle
↦ J. Uronen
76′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Samatta
W. Semedo 🔁
↦ C. Benavente
83′
87′
🔁 T. Buffel
↦ D. NDongala
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ K. Rezaei
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

35 P. Mandanda
17 S. Marinos
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
25 Nurio Fortuna
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
14 C. Benavente
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
77 M. Fall
9 K. Rezaei
Bench (7)
10 D. Pollet
19 W. Semedo
99 C. Bedia
6 G. Zajkov
15 V. Baume
22 G. Hendrickx
41 F. N'Ganga

Coach: F. Mazzù

Genk

1 D. Vuković
21 J. Uronen
15 O. Colley
45 J. Aidoo
24 Pozuelo
17 I. Seck
18 R. Malinovskiy
27 Clinton Mata
14 L. Trossard
10 M. Samatta
77 D. N'Dongala
Bench (7)
31 J. Mæhle
7 N. Karelis
19 T. Buffel
4 D. Wouters
6 S. Dewaest
22 S. Schrijvers
30 N. Jackers

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.