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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Heerenveen
S U S S T
2–3
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
5,0
Scored
1,3
3,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,7
This season — Eredivisie · 31/33 matches
Win Ø 49%
39%
58%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
58%
61%
Both score Ø 60%
61%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 5. · Feyenoord 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 26 4 3 +48 82
2 Ajax 33 24 4 5 +55 76
3 AZ Alkmaar 33 21 5 7 +28 68
4 Feyenoord 33 19 6 8 +36 63
5 Heerenveen 31 12 9 10 -2 45
6 Vitesse 29 12 8 9 +19 44
7 Zwolle 33 12 8 13 -6 44
8 Utrecht 29 11 10 8 -2 43
9 Den Haag 31 11 8 12 -8 41
10 Excelsior 33 11 7 15 -14 40
11 Heracles 33 10 9 14 -17 39
12 Groningen 33 8 13 12 +0 37
13 Willem II 33 10 6 17 -13 36
14 VVV Venlo 33 7 13 13 -18 34
15 NAC Breda 33 9 6 18 -16 33
16 Roda 33 8 6 19 -26 30
17 Sparta Rotterdam 33 7 6 20 -38 27
18 Twente 33 5 8 20 -26 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Feyenoord
10′
S. Berghuis 0–1
K. Diks
Reza Ghoochannejhad 🟨
14′
21′
🟨 Jan-Arie Van der Heijden
Dave Bulthuis 🟨
37′
41′
S. Berghuis 0–2
D. Vente
Half-time 0–2
D. Schmidt 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
46′
J. Bruijn 🔁
↦ L. Woudenberg
46′
H. Veerman 🔁
↦ M. Rojas
64′
67′
🔁 B. Basaçikoglu
↦ J. Boëtius
67′
🔁 R. van Persie
↦ D. Vente
1–2 J. Bruijn
A. Zeneli
79′
1–3 J. van der Heijden
own goal
80′
82′
🟨 Ridgeciano Haps
85′
🔁 B. Nieuwkoop
↦ K. Diks
90′
B. Basaçikoglu 1–4
S. Amrabat
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
24 M. Hansen G
3 D. Høegh D
14 D. Bulthuis D
16 L. Woudenberg D
2 D. Dumfries D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
8 M. Thorsby M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
7 M. Rojas F
13 A. Zeneli F
Bench (8)
12 D. Schmidt
26 J. Bruijn
20 H. Veerman
4 N. Næss
19 P. van Amersfoort
23 W. van der Steen
25 J. Bekkema
35 J. Hornkamp

Coach: J. Streppel

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 J. Bijlow G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
5 R. Haps D
17 K. Diks D
28 J. Toornstra M
20 R. Tapia M
21 S. Amrabat M
19 S. Berghuis F
7 J. Boëtius F
34 D. Vente
Bench (11)
14 B. Basaçikoglu
32 R. van Persie
2 B. Nieuwkoop
3 S. van Beek
8 K. El Ahmadi
9 N. Jørgensen
10 T. Vilhena
25 B. Jones
30 R. ten Hove
35 T. Malacia
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.