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Ligue 1
Referee: Sebastien Moreira
St Etienne
S U S S S
1–3
Full-time
Bordeaux
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
40%
37%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
51%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Bordeaux 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 29 5 2 +81 92
2 Lyon 35 21 9 5 +41 72
3 Monaco 35 21 8 6 +35 71
4 Marseille 35 20 10 5 +31 70
5 St Etienne 35 14 10 11 -5 52
6 Rennes 35 14 9 12 +3 51
7 Nice 35 14 9 12 +0 51
8 Montpellier 35 10 16 9 +1 46
9 Bordeaux 35 13 7 15 -3 46
10 Nantes 35 12 10 13 -6 46
11 Guingamp 35 12 10 13 -8 46
12 Amiens 36 11 9 16 -6 42
13 Dijon 35 11 9 15 -20 42
14 Angers 35 8 14 13 -8 38
15 Caen 35 10 7 18 -21 37
16 Strasbourg 35 8 11 16 -22 35
17 Toulouse 35 8 10 17 -14 34
18 Troyes 35 9 5 21 -21 32
19 Lille 35 8 8 19 -23 32
20 Metz 35 6 8 21 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Bordeaux
1–0 R. Cabella
28′
30′
Y. Sankharé 1–1
Y. Sabaly
36′
J. Koundé 1–2
Pablo
42′
🔁 J. Plašil
↦ Y. Sankharé
Ole Selnæs 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–2
J. Bamba 🔁
↦ O. Selnæs
46′
P. Ntep 🔁
↦ K. Monnet-Paquet
62′
68′
🟨 Lukas Lerager
75′
🔁 Jonathan Cafú
↦ F. Kamano
85′
🟨 Igor Lewczuk
85′
🔁 I. Lewczuk
↦ S. Meïté
Paul-Georges Ntep 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Benoît Costil
95′
Malcom 1–3
J. Plašil
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
26 M. Debuchy D
28 N. Subotić D
11 Gabriel Silva D
6 Y. M'Vila M
21 R. Hamouma M
10 R. Cabella M
17 O. Selnæs M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
27 R. Berič F
Bench (7)
14 J. Bamba
7 P. Ntep
2 K. Théophile-Catherine
8 A. Dioussé
12 C. M'Bengue
20 Hernani
30 J. Moulin

Coach: J. Gasset

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
25 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
29 M. Poundjé D
31 J. Koundé D
13 Y. Sankharé M
10 S. Meïté M
19 L. Lerager M
9 M. Braithwaite F
7 Malcom F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
18 J. Plašil
22 Jonathan Cafú
6 I. Lewczuk
16 G. Poussin
21 T. Pellenard
23 V. Vada
24 G. Laborde

Coach: G. Poyet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sebastien Moreira · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
11,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.