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Pro League
St Truiden
S T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
44%
14%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
44%
14%
Both score Ø 37%
44%
29%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
1,3
0,4
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match St Truiden 6. · Kortrijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
4 Gent 7 4 3 0 +7 15
5 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
6 St Truiden 9 4 1 4 +3 13
7 Waregem 7 4 0 3 +1 12
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 3 3 6 -5 12
9 Beveren 9 4 0 5 -6 12
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 3 2 4 +0 11
11 Westerlo 12 2 4 6 -9 10
12 Charleroi 7 2 3 2 +1 9
13 Mechelen 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Kortrijk 7 1 4 2 -1 7
15 Lokeren 10 2 1 7 -7 7
16 Standard 9 2 1 6 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Kortrijk
39′
A. Papazoglou 0–1
T. Kiš
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Y. Boli
Edmilson Junior
48′
2–1 Y. Boli
R. Schoofs
52′
J. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Y. Boli
77′
77′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ A. Marušić
Alfonso Artabe 🔁
↦ Y. Ono
85′
87′
🔁 L. Van Eenoo
↦ S. Gigot
H. Momi 🔁
↦ Edmilson Junior
88′
88′
🔁 S. Sarr
↦ S. De Smet
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

28 W. Dutoît
26 Ruben Fernandes
18 M. Bagayoko
24 S. Nirisarike
8 F. Rherras
25 Y. Ono
15 C. Cuevas
16 R. Schoofs
29 V. Angban
22 Edmilson Junior
11 Y. Boli
Bench (7)
30 J. Rodríguez
5 Alfonso Artabe
20 H. Momi
1 Y. De Winter
6 G. Hendrickx
21 M. Schils
9 C. De Norre

Kortrijk

16 D. Keet
17 G. De Mets
6 B. Poulain
33 Ž. Tomašević
2 M. Chanot
20 S. Gigot
18 H. Kage
11 A. Marušić
7 S. De Smet
9 A. Papazoglou
44 T. Kiš
Bench (7)
27 A. Kamara
12 L. Van Eenoo
88 S. Sarr
3 F. Boyer
5 B. Verstraete
13 M. Sifakis
31 A. Van Loo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.