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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Eupen
T T S U U
4–2
Full-time
St Truiden
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 19%
23%
15%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
85%
54%
Both score Ø 66%
77%
54%
Average goals
3,8
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
2,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1 Corners 5
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 12. · St Truiden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 10 9 0 1 +16 27
2 Kortrijk 14 6 5 3 +4 23
3 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
4 Genk 13 6 2 5 -1 20
5 Standard 13 5 4 4 +8 19
6 Mechelen 13 5 3 5 +2 18
7 Oostende 9 5 2 2 +4 17
8 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +9 16
9 Gent 8 5 1 2 +5 16
10 Charleroi 9 4 4 1 +3 16
11 Beveren 13 3 4 6 -9 13
12 Eupen 13 3 3 7 -12 12
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 3 2 8 -8 11
14 Lokeren 13 3 2 8 -8 11
15 St Truiden 13 2 4 7 -6 10
16 Westerlo 14 2 3 9 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen St Truiden
12′
🟨 Pierrick Valdivia
17′
K. Koubemba 0–1
A. Bassey 🔁
↦ G. Jamabo
34′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Sylla
J. Amani
51′
2–1 J. Amani
57′
3–1 M. Sylla
H. Onyekuru
62′
70′
🔁 S. Peeters
↦ S. De Petter
70′
🔁 Y. Boli
↦ F. Tchenkoua
82′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ Cristian Ceballos
83′
Y. Boli 3–2
R. Bezus
G. Dufour 🔁
↦ J. Amani
86′
P. Hackenberg 🔁
↦ E. Ocansey
91′
4–2 H. Onyekuru
A. Bassey
95′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Eupen

1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
5 D. Diagné D
3 Fahad Al-Abdulrahman
2 I. Diallo D
25 G. Jamabo M
8 J. Amani M
10 Luis García F
20 M. Sylla F
21 H. Onyekuru F
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
11 A. Bassey
18 G. Dufour
42 P. Hackenberg
9 Jeffren
19 F. Taulemesse
27 N. Radebe
30 B. Niasse

Coach: Jordi Condom

St Truiden

28 W. Dutoît G
26 Ruben Fernandes D
18 M. Bagayoko D
4 Jorge Pulido D
6 S. De Petter M
24 P. Valdivia M
16 C. Cuevas M
14 P. Gerkens M
7 F. Tchenkoua M
19 Cristian Ceballos M
77 K. Koubemba F
Bench (7)
8 S. Peeters
11 Y. Boli
10 R. Bezus
3 D. Dakonam
9 N. Proschwitz
21 L. Pirard
27 I. Swers

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.