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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Royal Excel Mouscron

T S U T U

0–1

Full-time

Kortrijk

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

33%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 80%

67%

92%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Corners 4

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Kortrijk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	Anderlecht	9	6	2	1	+10	20
3	Genk	13	6	2	5	-1	20
4	Standard	13	5	4	4	+8	19
5	Mechelen	13	5	3	5	+2	18
6	Oostende	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Kortrijk	12	4	5	3	+2	17
8	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+9	16
9	Gent	8	5	1	2	+5	16
10	Charleroi	8	4	4	0	+4	16
11	Eupen	13	3	3	7	-12	12
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-7	11
13	Lokeren	13	3	2	8	-8	11
14	St Truiden	13	2	4	7	-6	10
15	Beveren	12	2	4	6	-10	10
16	Westerlo	13	2	3	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	7	5	1	1	+3	16
2	Gent	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Standard	6	4	1	1	+11	13
4	Kortrijk	6	3	3	0	+7	12
5	Waregem	4	4	0	0	+7	12
6	Oostende	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+6	10
8	Charleroi	4	3	1	0	+3	10
9	Mechelen	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	9
11	St Truiden	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Beveren	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Lokeren	6	3	0	3	+0	9
14	Eupen	6	2	2	2	-3	8
15	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	1	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Mechelen	6	2	2	2	+0	8
4	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	2	1	3	+1	7
5	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Charleroi	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Standard	7	1	3	3	-3	6
9	Kortrijk	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	Genk	6	1	1	4	-4	4
11	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-9	4
12	Westerlo	7	1	1	5	-12	4
13	Lokeren	7	0	2	5	-8	2
14	Gent	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	St Truiden	6	0	1	5	-7	1
16	Beveren	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.