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Pro League
Gent
S S T S S
3–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
58%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,9
1,8
Scored
2,1
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 3. · Kortrijk 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 14 9 3 2 +16 30
2 Club Brugge 13 9 1 3 +19 28
3 Gent 12 8 3 1 +15 27
4 Anderlecht 11 7 3 1 +10 24
5 Genk 12 7 1 4 +4 22
6 St Truiden 17 7 1 9 -5 22
7 Waregem 13 6 3 4 +5 21
8 Charleroi 13 5 4 4 +3 19
9 Standard 15 6 1 8 -11 19
10 Mechelen 16 5 3 8 -8 18
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 5 3 12 -10 18
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 4 4 6 -2 16
13 Beveren 14 5 1 8 -9 16
14 Westerlo 20 3 7 10 -20 16
15 Lokeren 14 4 2 8 -4 14
16 Kortrijk 12 2 6 4 -3 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -15 Kortrijk – Gent 0–0

Match report

Gent Kortrijk
1–0 M. Simon
L. Depoitre
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Kums
57′
68′
🔁 K. D'Haene
↦ B. Poulain
2–1 M. Chanot
own goal
71′
79′
🔁 S. Sarr
↦ N. Pavlović
H. Van der Bruggen 🔁
↦ B. Dejaegere
80′
85′
🔁 L. Van Eenoo
↦ F. Boyer
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
86′
B. Raman 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
19 B. Dejaegere
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
27 M. Simon
Bench (7)
17 H. Van der Bruggen
7 K. Coulibaly
26 B. Raman
3 U. Vitas
4 Rafinha
15 K. Saief
25 B. Vandenbussche

Kortrijk

16 D. Keet
17 G. De Mets
31 A. Van Loo
6 B. Poulain
33 Ž. Tomašević
2 M. Chanot
3 F. Boyer
8 N. Pavlović
11 A. Marušić
7 S. De Smet
9 A. Papazoglou
Bench (7)
30 K. D'Haene
88 S. Sarr
12 L. Van Eenoo
4 A. Claeys
5 B. Verstraete
13 M. Sifakis
44 T. Kiš

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.