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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Torino
T T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Udinese
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 36%
40%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
53%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Torino 11. · Udinese 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 16 11 3 2 +13 36
2 Fiorentina 17 11 2 4 +18 35
3 Napoli 17 10 5 2 +18 35
4 Juventus 17 10 3 4 +14 33
5 Roma 17 9 5 3 +14 32
6 Sassuolo 16 7 6 3 +5 27
7 Empoli 17 8 3 6 +1 27
8 Milan 16 7 4 5 +1 25
9 Atalanta 17 7 3 7 +0 24
10 Chievo 17 6 4 7 +3 22
11 Torino 15 6 4 5 +2 22
12 Lazio 16 6 2 8 -7 20
13 Bologna 17 6 1 10 -5 19
14 Palermo 16 5 3 8 -7 18
15 Udinese 16 5 3 8 -10 18
16 Sampdoria 16 4 5 7 -4 17
17 Genoa 17 4 4 9 -8 16
18 Frosinone 16 4 2 10 -15 14
19 Carpi 17 2 4 11 -18 10
20 Verona 17 0 8 9 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Udinese
12′
🟨 Danilo
41′
S. Perica 0–1
F. Lodi
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Molla Wagué
Danilo Avelar 🔁
↦ C. Molinaro
57′
Cesare Bovo 🟨
63′
A. Acquah 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
63′
64′
🟨 Molla Wagué
64′
🟥 Molla Wagué
66′
🔁 I. Piris
↦ A. Di Natale
M. López 🔁
↦ C. Bovo
70′
Maxi López 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 Ali Adnan
↦ Edenilson
89′
🔁 M. Iturra
↦ F. Lodi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
5 C. Bovo D
3 C. Molinaro D
18 P. Jansson D
7 D. Zappacosta M
20 G. Vives M
16 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (11)
26 Danilo Avelar
6 A. Acquah
11 M. López
13 L. Castellazzi
14 A. Gazzi
21 G. Silva
22 Amauri
23 S. Prcić
25 K. Glik
28 S. Ichazo
44 V. Pryyma

Udinese

31 O. Karnezis G
30 Felipe D
5 Danilo D
21 Edenilson M
2 M. Wagué D
27 S. Widmer M
20 F. Lodi M
7 E. Agyemang-Badu M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
10 A. Di Natale F
18 S. Perica F
Bench (11)
89 I. Piris
53 Ali Adnan
16 M. Iturra
11 M. Domizzi
13 E. Insúa
19 Guilherme
23 Marquinho
26 G. Pasquale
90 R. Romo
95 Lucas Evangelista
97 A. Meret

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.