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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Excelsior

S U T U T

1–4

Full-time

Cambuur

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Cambuur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 16%

25%

Points per game

1,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

63%

Both score Ø 60%

50%

69%

Average goals

2,9

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,7

2,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 13. · Cambuur 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	2	2	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	5	1	+23	38
3	Feyenoord	16	11	3	2	+21	36
4	Vitesse	17	8	4	5	+18	28
5	Heracles	15	8	3	4	+7	27
6	Groningen	16	7	5	4	+0	26
7	Zwolle	16	7	4	5	+4	25
8	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Utrecht	15	5	5	5	+0	20
10	Heerenveen	16	5	5	6	-3	20
11	AZ Alkmaar	17	5	4	8	-5	19
12	Den Haag	16	3	8	5	-5	17
13	Excelsior	16	4	5	7	-8	17
14	Roda	16	3	7	6	-15	16
15	Willem II	16	3	6	7	-2	15
16	Twente	17	3	4	10	-23	13
17	Cambuur	16	1	7	8	-24	10
18	De Graafschap	16	1	2	13	-23	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	Groningen	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+21	18
5	Vitesse	9	6	0	3	+14	18
6	Nijmegen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+7	17
8	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
9	Heerenveen	8	4	3	1	+5	15
10	Zwolle	8	4	2	2	+0	14
11	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Roda	9	2	5	2	-3	11
13	Twente	8	3	1	4	-7	10
14	Willem II	8	2	3	3	+2	9
15	Den Haag	8	1	6	1	+0	9
16	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Cambuur	9	1	4	4	-12	7
18	De Graafschap	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Feyenoord	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Zwolle	8	3	2	3	+4	11
5	Vitesse	8	2	4	2	+4	10
6	Heracles	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-5	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	8	2	2	4	-4	8
9	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-5	8
10	Nijmegen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
11	Willem II	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-10	6
13	Utrecht	8	1	2	5	-6	5
14	Heerenveen	8	1	2	5	-8	5
15	Roda	7	1	2	4	-12	5
16	De Graafschap	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	Cambuur	7	0	3	4	-12	3
18	Twente	9	0	3	6	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.