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Serie A

Referee: Andrea Gervasoni

Roma

S U T U U

2–0

Full-time

Genoa

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

56%

31%

Both score Ø 54%

69%

38%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

7 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 5. · Genoa 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	16	11	3	2	+13	36
2	Juventus	17	10	3	4	+14	33
3	Fiorentina	16	10	2	4	+16	32
4	Napoli	16	9	5	2	+16	32
5	Roma	16	8	5	3	+12	29
6	Empoli	17	8	3	6	+1	27
7	Sassuolo	15	7	5	3	+5	26
8	Milan	16	7	4	5	+1	25
9	Atalanta	16	7	3	6	+2	24
10	Chievo	16	6	4	6	+5	22
11	Torino	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Lazio	16	6	2	8	-7	20
13	Bologna	17	6	1	10	-5	19
14	Palermo	16	5	3	8	-7	18
15	Udinese	16	5	3	8	-10	18
16	Sampdoria	16	4	5	7	-4	17
17	Genoa	16	4	4	8	-6	16
18	Frosinone	16	4	2	10	-15	14
19	Carpi	17	2	4	11	-18	10
20	Verona	16	0	7	9	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Fiorentina	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Inter	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Juventus	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Milan	8	5	2	1	+3	17
7	Roma	7	5	1	1	+9	16
8	Atalanta	7	5	1	1	+9	16
9	Torino	8	4	3	1	+6	15
10	Sassuolo	7	4	3	0	+4	15
11	Sampdoria	8	4	2	2	+5	14
12	Empoli	8	4	1	3	+2	13
13	Frosinone	8	4	1	3	+1	13
14	Genoa	8	4	1	3	+1	13
15	Chievo	8	3	2	3	+3	11
16	Palermo	9	3	2	4	-2	11
17	Bologna	9	3	1	5	+0	10
18	Udinese	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Carpi	9	1	3	5	-4	6
20	Verona	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	Juventus	9	5	1	3	+7	16
3	Empoli	9	4	2	3	-1	14
4	Roma	9	3	4	2	+3	13
5	Fiorentina	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Napoli	8	3	3	2	+5	12
7	Chievo	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Udinese	8	3	1	4	-5	10
10	Bologna	8	3	0	5	-5	9
11	Milan	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Atalanta	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Torino	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Palermo	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Verona	8	0	4	4	-7	4
16	Carpi	8	1	1	6	-14	4
17	Genoa	8	0	3	5	-7	3
18	Sampdoria	8	0	3	5	-9	3
19	Lazio	7	1	0	6	-13	3
20	Frosinone	8	0	1	7	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.