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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Gazelec FC Ajaccio

S U S U U

2–1

Full-time

Lyon

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gazelec FC Ajaccio Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 34%

28%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

28%

44%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gazelec FC Ajaccio 16. · Lyon 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	19	16	3	0	+39	51
2	Monaco	19	8	8	3	+2	32
3	Angers	19	8	7	4	+6	31
4	Caen	19	9	3	7	-1	30
5	Nice	19	8	5	6	+9	29
6	St Etienne	19	9	2	8	+0	29
7	Rennes	19	6	9	4	+4	27
8	Lorient	19	6	8	5	+1	26
9	Lyon	18	7	5	6	+1	26
10	Marseille	18	6	6	6	+7	24
11	Lille	19	5	9	5	+2	24
12	Nantes	19	6	6	7	-3	24
13	Montpellier	19	6	4	9	-3	22
14	Bastia	19	6	4	9	-4	22
15	Bordeaux	18	5	7	6	-5	22
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	18	5	6	7	-3	21
17	Reims	19	5	6	8	-5	21
18	Guingamp	19	5	4	10	-10	19
19	Toulouse	19	3	8	8	-12	17
20	Troyes	19	0	8	11	-25	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+21	22
2	St Etienne	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Bastia	10	6	0	4	+5	18
4	Bordeaux	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Lorient	10	4	4	2	+6	16
6	Caen	10	5	1	4	-4	16
7	Angers	10	3	6	1	+2	15
8	Montpellier	10	5	0	5	+0	15
9	Lyon	9	4	2	3	+4	14
10	Lille	9	4	2	3	+4	14
11	Nice	9	4	1	4	+4	13
12	Reims	10	3	4	3	+2	13
13	Monaco	9	3	4	2	-1	13
14	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	+1	12
15	Nantes	9	3	3	3	-1	12
16	Marseille	10	2	5	3	+6	11
17	Toulouse	9	2	5	2	+1	11
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	8	2	4	2	+1	10
19	Rennes	9	2	4	3	-2	10
20	Troyes	11	0	6	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Monaco	10	5	4	1	+3	19
3	Rennes	10	4	5	1	+6	17
4	Nice	10	4	4	2	+5	16
5	Angers	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Caen	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Marseille	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Nantes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	Lyon	9	3	3	3	-3	12
10	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	10	3	2	5	-4	11
11	Lille	10	1	7	2	-2	10
12	Lorient	9	2	4	3	-5	10
13	St Etienne	9	3	0	6	-7	9
14	Reims	9	2	2	5	-7	8
15	Montpellier	9	1	4	4	-3	7
16	Guingamp	10	2	1	7	-11	7
17	Toulouse	10	1	3	6	-13	6
18	Bordeaux	9	0	5	4	-9	5
19	Bastia	9	0	4	5	-9	4
20	Troyes	8	0	2	6	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.