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Pro League
Waregem
S S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Kortrijk
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,7
1,5
Scored
2,7
0,7
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 37%
63%
11%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
100%
22%
Both score Ø 60%
75%
44%
Average goals
4,4
1,3
Scored
2,5
0,6
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Waregem 6. · Kortrijk 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 10 7 1 2 +17 22
2 Oostende 9 6 3 0 +11 21
3 Gent 9 6 3 0 +10 21
4 Anderlecht 9 6 3 0 +10 21
5 St Truiden 12 6 1 5 +1 19
6 Waregem 8 5 0 3 +5 15
7 Genk 9 5 0 4 -1 15
8 Charleroi 9 3 4 2 +2 13
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 3 3 5 -2 12
10 Mechelen 11 3 3 5 -4 12
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 3 3 8 -9 12
12 Beveren 11 4 0 7 -9 12
13 Westerlo 14 2 5 7 -11 11
14 Lokeren 12 3 1 8 -6 10
15 Standard 11 3 1 7 -12 10
16 Kortrijk 9 1 5 3 -2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Kortrijk
1–0 C. Lepoint
S. De Ridder
17′
44′
N. Pavlović 1–1
A. Papazoglou
Half-time 1–1
S. Buyl 🔁
↦ O. Kaya
68′
74′
Ž. Tomašević 1–2
A. Papazoglou
2–2 M. Thiam
C. Lepoint
78′
N. Storm 🔁
↦ J. Sami
79′
79′
🔁 E. Rolland
↦ T. Kiš
87′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ H. Kage
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
6 J. Sami
3 M. Baudry
21 B. Godeau
4 A. Diallo
34 O. Kaya
10 S. De Ridder
23 C. Lepoint
26 C. Aneke
9 M. Leye
7 M. Thiam
Bench (7)
11 S. Buyl
42 N. Storm
8 J. Jørgensen
22 K. Steppe
29 A. Cordaro
15 J. Benteke
35 K. Essikal

Kortrijk

16 D. Keet
17 G. De Mets
31 A. Van Loo
33 Ž. Tomašević
2 M. Chanot
3 F. Boyer
8 N. Pavlović
18 H. Kage
11 A. Marušić
9 A. Papazoglou
44 T. Kiš
Bench (7)
26 E. Rolland
27 A. Kamara
12 L. Van Eenoo
13 M. Sifakis
30 K. D'Haene
88 S. Sarr
4 A. Claeys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.