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Pro League
Lokeren
T T T T S
1–2
Full-time
Gent
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 10/7 matches
Win Ø 39%
20%
57%
Points per game
0,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,9
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lokeren 15. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
4 St Truiden 10 5 1 4 +4 16
5 Gent 7 4 3 0 +7 15
6 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
7 Waregem 7 4 0 3 +1 12
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 3 3 6 -5 12
9 Beveren 9 4 0 5 -6 12
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 3 2 4 +0 11
11 Westerlo 12 2 4 6 -9 10
12 Charleroi 7 2 3 2 +1 9
13 Mechelen 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Kortrijk 8 1 4 3 -2 7
15 Lokeren 10 2 1 7 -7 7
16 Standard 9 2 1 6 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Gent
18′
B. Raman 0–1
S. Kums
Half-time 0–2
58′
Renato Neto 0–2
K. Saief
F. Starzyński 🔁
↦ E. Ngolok
62′
B. Ňinaj 🔁
↦ M. Tičinović
65′
1–2 M. Mirić
65′
80′
🔁 Y. Soumahoro
↦ B. Raman
87′
🔁 U. Vitas
↦ S. Mitrović
L. Enoh 🔁
↦ K. Persoons
89′
89′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ L. Depoitre
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
5 M. Marić
19 M. Tičinović
3 D. Odoi
15 S. Ingason
8 K. Persoons
7 K. Overmeire
28 E. Ngolok
21 M. Mirić
70 Jajá
10 A. Patosi
Bench (6)
34 F. Starzyński
25 B. Ňinaj
29 L. Enoh
22 D. Melnjak
39 B. Geens
50 S. Bolbat

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
26 B. Raman
Bench (6)
70 Y. Soumahoro
3 U. Vitas
7 K. Coulibaly
4 Rafinha
25 B. Vandenbussche
12 M. Poletanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.