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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Inter

S S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Lazio

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 54%

69%

38%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

31%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

31%

44%

Average goals

1,9

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

7 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Inter 1. · Lazio 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	16	11	3	2	+13	36
2	Fiorentina	17	11	2	4	+18	35
3	Napoli	17	10	5	2	+18	35
4	Juventus	17	10	3	4	+14	33
5	Roma	17	9	5	3	+14	32
6	Milan	17	8	4	5	+3	28
7	Sassuolo	16	7	6	3	+5	27
8	Empoli	17	8	3	6	+1	27
9	Atalanta	17	7	3	7	+0	24
10	Chievo	17	6	4	7	+3	22
11	Torino	16	6	4	6	+1	22
12	Udinese	17	6	3	8	-9	21
13	Sampdoria	17	5	5	7	-2	20
14	Lazio	16	6	2	8	-7	20
15	Bologna	17	6	1	10	-5	19
16	Palermo	17	5	3	9	-9	18
17	Genoa	17	4	4	9	-8	16
18	Frosinone	17	4	2	11	-17	14
19	Carpi	17	2	4	11	-18	10
20	Verona	17	0	8	9	-15	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	9	7	1	1	+15	22
2	Napoli	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	Roma	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Inter	8	6	1	1	+6	19
5	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Juventus	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+6	17
8	Milan	8	5	2	1	+3	17
9	Atalanta	8	5	1	2	+7	16
10	Torino	9	4	3	2	+5	15
11	Sassuolo	7	4	3	0	+4	15
12	Empoli	8	4	1	3	+2	13
13	Genoa	8	4	1	3	+1	13
14	Frosinone	9	4	1	4	-1	13
15	Chievo	8	3	2	3	+3	11
16	Palermo	9	3	2	4	-2	11
17	Bologna	9	3	1	5	+0	10
18	Udinese	8	2	2	4	-5	8
19	Carpi	9	1	3	5	-4	6
20	Verona	9	0	4	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	Juventus	9	5	1	3	+7	16
3	Napoli	9	4	3	2	+7	15
4	Empoli	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Roma	9	3	4	2	+3	13
6	Fiorentina	8	4	1	3	+3	13
7	Udinese	9	4	1	4	-4	13
8	Sassuolo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Milan	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Chievo	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	Bologna	8	3	0	5	-5	9
12	Atalanta	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Torino	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Palermo	8	2	1	5	-7	7
15	Verona	8	0	4	4	-7	4
16	Carpi	8	1	1	6	-14	4
17	Genoa	9	0	3	6	-9	3
18	Sampdoria	8	0	3	5	-9	3
19	Lazio	7	1	0	6	-13	3
20	Frosinone	8	0	1	7	-16	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.