Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kortrijk
Mechelen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oostende
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 |
Club Brugge
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 3 |
Gent
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 |
St Truiden
|
12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |
Waregem
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |
Genk
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Charleroi
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |
Beveren
|
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 |
Mechelen
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Westerlo
|
15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -11 | 12 |
| 13 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 |
Lokeren
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 |
Standard
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 |
Kortrijk
|
10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Waregem
Kortrijk
Kortrijk
Anderlecht
St Truiden
Kortrijk
Westerlo
Kortrijk
Kortrijk
Genk
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.