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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Oliveira
3–3
Full-time
Sp Braga
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
6,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 16. · Sp Braga 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Feirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Vitoria Setubal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Belenenses 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Rio Ave 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Boavista 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Moreirense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Chaves 2 1 0 1 -3 3
13 Tondela 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Aves 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Guimaraes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Nacional 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Portimonense 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Sp Braga
15′
🟨 João Novais
24′
Pablo 0–1
João Novais
29′
Wilson Eduardo 0–2
Sequeira
Fernando 🔁
↦ P. Pacheco
39′
40′
Dyego Sousa 0–3
Ricardo Horta
Zé Manuel 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Ricardo Esgaio
Half-time 1–3
1–3 Thiago Santana
Patrick
46′
Thiago Santana 🟨
55′
2–3 Zé Manuel
Thiago Santana
60′
64′
🔁 João Palhinha
↦ Wilson Eduardo
3–3 Fábio Cardoso
Osama Rashid
65′
A. Stephens 🔁
↦ Thiago Santana
71′
72′
🔁 Bruno Xadas
↦ Fransérgio
Anderson Carvalho 🔁
↦ Zé Manuel
75′
83′
🔁 Murilo
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
90′
🟨 Ricardo Horta
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-4-2
99 Marco Pereira G
4 Accioly D
91 Patrick D
3 Fábio Cardoso D
15 João Lucas D
8 P. Pacheco M
14 Thiago Santana F
6 Osama Rashid M
20 Bruno Lamas M
70 Zé Manuel M
11 D. Pineda F
Bench (7)
93 Fernando
18 A. Stephens
27 Anderson Carvalho
24 Mamadu Candé
17 Kaio Pantaleão
96 João Lopes
10 Minhoca

Coach: João Henriques

Sp Braga

4-3-3
1 Matheus G
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
2 Diogo Figueiras D
5 Sequeira D
14 Pablo D
36 Bruno Vianna D
27 Fransérgio M
17 João Novais M
21 Ricardo Horta M
7 Wilson Eduardo F
99 Dyego Sousa F
Bench (7)
60 João Palhinha
10 Bruno Xadas
19 Murilo
4 Lucas Cunha
12 Tiago Sá
8 Ricardo
26 Fábio Martins

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Oliveira · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.