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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Guimaraes

S S T U S

3–3

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

33% Possession 67%

6 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 6. · Sp Lisbon 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Sp Lisbon	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Porto	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sp Braga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Chaves	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Rio Ave	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Belenenses	7	2	3	2	-2	9
9	Feirense	6	3	0	3	-3	9
10	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Estoril	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Nacional	6	2	0	4	-1	6
14	Maritimo	6	2	0	4	-4	6
15	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Tondela	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Arouca	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Moreirense	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Vitoria Setubal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Rio Ave	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Chaves	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Tondela	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Arouca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-5	3
18	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Chaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Feirense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Porto	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Estoril	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Nacional	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Arouca	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Boavista	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.