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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao

Sp Lisbon

S T T S S

1–0

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%

18 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 23

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 3. · Vitoria Setubal 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.