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Eliteserien

Referee: O Nilsen

Viking

S S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Bodo/Glimt

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Bodo/Glimt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

2,3

2,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 16/17 matches

Win Ø 73%

69%

76%

Points per game

2,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

56%

71%

Both score Ø 61%

69%

53%

Average goals

3,6

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,48 xG 2,14

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

4 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viking 3. · Bodo/Glimt 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	17	13	2	2	+25	+6.1	41
2	Tromso	17	11	3	3	+11	+1.4	36
3	Viking	16	11	2	3	+14	+1.9	35
4	Molde	17	10	2	5	+20	+7.9	32
5	Brann	18	9	3	6	+7	-2.9	30
6	Lillestrom	17	9	2	6	+7	+5.6	29
7	Odd	18	7	4	7	+2	+1.7	25
8	Rosenborg	18	7	4	7	-2	+1.3	25
9	Sarpsborg 08	17	7	3	7	-2	+0.1	24
10	Stromsgodset	17	6	2	9	-2	-3.9	20
11	Haugesund	17	5	3	9	-9	-2.1	18
12	Sandefjord	16	4	4	8	-8	-9.7	16
13	Stabaek	17	4	4	9	-12	+0.8	16
14	Ham-Kam	17	5	1	11	-19	-5.5	16
15	Valerenga	16	4	2	10	-8	-2.7	14
16	Aalesund	17	3	1	13	-24	-0.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+13	+2.4	20
2	Brann	9	6	2	1	+10	-0.5	20
3	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
4	Viking	8	6	1	1	+12	+1.1	19
5	Lillestrom	9	6	0	3	+9	+4.7	18
6	Tromso	9	5	2	2	+5	+3.1	17
7	Rosenborg	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.2	16
8	Odd	8	4	2	2	+5	+2.9	14
9	Haugesund	8	4	2	2	+2	-0.8	14
10	Sarpsborg 08	8	4	1	3	+4	-0.4	13
11	Ham-Kam	9	4	1	4	-2	-3.5	13
12	Stromsgodset	8	4	0	4	+2	-1.1	12
13	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	+2	-1.1	12
14	Sandefjord	7	3	2	2	+7	-5.2	11
15	Aalesund	9	3	1	5	-6	+1.7	10
16	Valerenga	8	1	0	7	-9	-0.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.7	21
2	Tromso	8	6	1	1	+6	-1.7	19
3	Viking	8	5	1	2	+2	+0.8	16
4	Molde	9	4	1	4	+5	+3.4	13
5	Valerenga	8	3	2	3	+1	-2.3	11
6	Lillestrom	8	3	2	3	-2	+0.9	11
7	Odd	10	3	2	5	-3	-1.2	11
8	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	2	4	-6	+0.5	11
9	Brann	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.3	10
10	Rosenborg	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.1	9
11	Stromsgodset	9	2	2	5	-4	-2.8	8
12	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-15	-4.5	5
13	Haugesund	9	1	1	7	-11	-1.3	4
14	Stabaek	8	1	1	6	-14	+1.9	4
15	Ham-Kam	8	1	0	7	-17	-2.0	3
16	Aalesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.