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Eliteserien
Referee: S Sinnes
Viking
S U S S S
3–1
Full-time
Aalesund
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 39%
64%
13%
Points per game
2,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
57%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
71%
40%
Average goals
3,7
2,9
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,11 xG 1,98
57% Possession 43%
28 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viking 4. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 13 2 1 +27 +5.4 41
2 Tromso 15 9 3 3 +7 +0.5 30
3 Molde 16 9 2 5 +19 +6.7 29
4 Viking 14 9 2 3 +10 -0.1 29
5 Brann 16 8 3 5 +7 -3.2 27
6 Lillestrom 15 8 2 5 +7 +5.2 26
7 Odd 16 6 4 6 -1 +1.7 22
8 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 3 6 +1 -0.3 21
9 Stromsgodset 15 6 2 7 +1 -0.9 20
10 Rosenborg 16 5 4 7 -4 -0.7 19
11 Haugesund 15 5 3 7 -7 -2.4 18
12 Stabaek 15 4 4 7 -7 +4.0 16
13 Ham-Kam 15 5 1 9 -15 -2.3 16
14 Valerenga 14 3 2 9 -9 -5.1 11
15 Sandefjord 14 2 4 8 -13 -7.1 10
16 Aalesund 15 2 1 12 -23 -1.4 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viking Aalesund
1–0 D. Brekalo
Z. Tripić
23′
28′
🟨 Isaac Atanga
40′
E. Segberg 1–1
Half-time 1–1
N. D'Agostino 🔁
↦ S. Svendsen
55′
68′
🟨 Markus Karlsbakk
2–1 Z. Tripić
70′
K. Løkberg 🔁
↦ H. Tangen
71′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ P. Yazbek
71′
N. Sandberg 🔁
↦ L. Salvesen
71′
73′
🔁 K. Ødemarksbakken
↦ I. Atanga
82′
🟨 Moctar Diop
H. Haugen 🔁
↦ S. Bjørshol
83′
Kristoffer Løkberg 🟨
85′
3–1 Z. Tripić
N. Sandberg
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Viking

4-3-3
30 P. Gunnarsson G
18 S. Bjørshol D
5 D. Diop D
4 D. Brekalo D
20 S. Pattynama D
14 P. Yazbek M
11 Y. de Lanlay M
21 H. Tangen M
29 S. Svendsen F
9 L. Salvesen F
10 Z. Tripić F
Bench (9)
7 N. D'Agostino
16 K. Løkberg
27 B. Bjarnason
15 N. Sandberg
2 H. Haugen
3 V. Vevatne
41 J. Berg
1 A. Østbø
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 S. Grytebust G
31 A. Munksgaard D
5 D. Fällman D
4 N. Hopland D
25 J. Kitolano D
37 H. Melland M
6 E. Segberg M
22 M. Karlsbakk M
29 B. Kristensen F
27 M. Diop F
19 I. Atanga F
Bench (6)
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
30 A. Andersen
13 M. Lansing
2 T. Murray
33 S. Haram
35 S. Berntsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.