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Eliteserien
Referee: T Hagen
Viking
S T U S S
5–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
50%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
82%
59%
Both score Ø 75%
82%
68%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
24 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viking 5. · Lillestrom 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 22 14 5 3 +26 47
2 Molde 22 13 5 4 +28 44
3 Kristiansund 22 12 3 7 +4 39
4 Rosenborg 22 11 5 6 +16 38
5 Viking 22 11 5 6 +2 38
6 Lillestrom 22 10 5 7 +5 35
7 Valerenga 22 7 10 5 +6 31
8 Haugesund 22 9 4 9 +5 31
9 Stromsgodset 22 8 5 9 +0 29
10 Odd 22 7 6 9 -9 27
11 Sandefjord 22 7 5 10 -10 26
12 Sarpsborg 08 22 6 5 11 -12 23
13 Tromso 22 5 7 10 -13 22
14 Brann 22 4 7 11 -14 19
15 Stabaek 22 4 6 12 -18 18
16 Mjondalen 22 2 9 11 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viking Lillestrom
1–0 S. Sebulonsen
R. Vikstøl
3′
19′
🟨 Lars Ranger
Half-time 2–0
2–0 H. Tangen
48′
S. Friðjónsson 🔁
↦ K. Løkberg
56′
62′
🔁 E. Edh
↦ D. Gustafsson
62′
🔁 F. Krogstad
↦ M. Knudsen
62′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ U. Mathisen
64′
F. Krogstad 2–1
3–1 V. Berisha
68′
4–1 V. Berisha
Y. de Lanlay
73′
S. Pattynama 🔁
↦ R. Vikstøl
74′
K. Kabran 🔁
↦ Y. de Lanlay
74′
S. Bjørshol 🔁
↦ S. Sebulonsen
75′
75′
🔁 H. Skogvold
↦ L. Ranger
S. Kvia-Egeskog 🔁
↦ H. Tangen
80′
5–1 V. Berisha
Z. Tripić
82′
84′
🔁 M. Bergum
↦ I. Mathew
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Viking

4-3-3
22 A. Østbø G
23 R. Vikstøl D
4 D. Brekalo D
16 K. Løkberg M
77 Z. Tripić F
8 J. Bell M
21 H. Tangen M
6 G. Stensness D
14 V. Berisha F
11 Y. de Lanlay F
17 S. Sebulonsen D
Bench (8)
27 S. Friðjónsson
20 S. Pattynama
9 K. Kabran
18 S. Bjørshol
40 S. Kvia-Egeskog
10 T. Høiland
3 V. Vevatne
30 P. Gunnarsson

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
26 L. Ranger M
22 P. Slørdahl D
8 I. Mathew M
18 U. Mathisen F
21 M. Knudsen M
90 D. Gustafsson F
17 J. Braut-Brunes F
Bench (9)
25 E. Edh
14 F. Krogstad
11 T. Svendsen
33 H. Skogvold
31 M. Bergum
1 K. Skjærstein
3 S. Mikalsen
7 P. Helland
15 J. Baccay

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Hagen · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.