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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

AZ Alkmaar

U T S S T

3–0

Full-time

Utrecht

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 17/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

41%

47%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

71%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

59%

60%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

21 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 6. · Utrecht 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	16	0	1	+52	48
2	Ajax	17	15	1	1	+52	46
3	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	+15	36
4	Heracles	16	8	2	6	+0	26
5	Utrecht	15	7	4	4	+6	25
6	AZ Alkmaar	17	7	4	6	+4	25
7	Vitesse	16	6	5	5	+2	23
8	VVV Venlo	17	6	5	6	-3	23
9	For Sittard	17	5	5	7	-1	20
10	Heerenveen	17	5	5	7	-3	20
11	Den Haag	17	5	5	7	-11	20
12	Willem II	17	5	4	8	-8	19
13	FC Emmen	17	4	5	8	-17	17
14	Excelsior	18	4	4	10	-23	16
15	Groningen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
16	Zwolle	17	4	3	10	-13	15
17	NAC Breda	17	4	3	10	-17	15
18	De Graafschap	17	3	3	11	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+34	27
2	Feyenoord	9	8	0	1	+13	24
3	Ajax	8	7	1	0	+30	22
4	Heracles	8	6	0	2	+8	18
5	Utrecht	8	5	1	2	+9	16
6	VVV Venlo	8	4	3	1	+7	15
7	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+3	14
8	NAC Breda	9	4	1	4	-1	13
9	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	3	2	+4	12
10	For Sittard	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	De Graafschap	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Den Haag	8	2	3	3	-6	9
13	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-10	9
14	Groningen	8	2	1	5	-1	7
15	Heerenveen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
16	FC Emmen	9	1	3	5	-8	6
17	Willem II	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Zwolle	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	8	0	1	+22	24
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+18	21
3	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+4	14
4	Willem II	9	4	2	3	-2	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	1	4	+0	13
6	Feyenoord	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	FC Emmen	8	3	2	3	-9	11
9	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-6	10
10	Vitesse	9	2	3	4	-1	9
11	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-3	9
12	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	VVV Venlo	9	2	2	5	-10	8
16	Excelsior	9	2	1	6	-13	7
17	NAC Breda	8	0	2	6	-16	2
18	De Graafschap	8	0	2	6	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.