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Eredivisie

Referee: Christaan Bax

Zwolle

U T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 39%

40%

37%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 60%

57%

63%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

27 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 5. · Excelsior 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	30	25	2	3	+45	77
2	Ajax	30	22	4	4	+52	70
3	AZ Alkmaar	31	20	5	6	+30	65
4	Feyenoord	30	16	6	8	+28	54
5	Zwolle	30	12	7	11	-3	43
6	Heerenveen	29	11	9	9	-1	42
7	Vitesse	27	11	8	8	+15	41
8	Utrecht	26	11	8	7	+0	41
9	Den Haag	29	11	7	11	-6	40
10	Excelsior	30	11	5	14	-10	38
11	Heracles	31	10	7	14	-17	37
12	VVV Venlo	31	7	13	11	-12	34
13	Groningen	30	6	12	12	-5	30
14	Willem II	30	8	6	16	-11	30
15	NAC Breda	30	8	6	16	-17	30
16	Roda	30	7	5	18	-28	26
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	6	6	19	-37	24
18	Twente	31	4	8	19	-23	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+32	43
2	Ajax	15	12	1	2	+27	37
3	Feyenoord	15	9	3	3	+16	30
4	Heracles	16	9	3	4	+4	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	2	4	+10	29
6	Zwolle	15	8	3	4	+8	27
7	Utrecht	13	6	6	1	+4	24
8	Groningen	15	5	7	3	+6	22
9	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
10	Den Haag	15	6	3	6	-2	21
11	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+8	20
12	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	NAC Breda	15	6	1	8	-7	19
14	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	2	8	-13	17
15	VVV Venlo	16	3	6	7	-7	15
16	Roda	15	4	3	8	-12	15
17	Twente	15	3	5	7	-8	14
18	Excelsior	15	3	4	8	-7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	1	3	+13	34
3	Ajax	15	10	3	2	+25	33
4	Excelsior	15	8	1	6	-3	25
5	Feyenoord	15	7	3	5	+12	24
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Vitesse	13	6	3	4	+7	21
8	Den Haag	14	5	4	5	-4	19
9	VVV Venlo	15	4	7	4	-5	19
10	Utrecht	13	5	2	6	-4	17
11	Zwolle	15	4	4	7	-11	16
12	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
13	Roda	15	3	2	10	-16	11
14	Willem II	15	2	3	10	-17	9
15	Groningen	15	1	5	9	-11	8
16	Heracles	15	1	4	10	-21	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	1	4	11	-24	7
18	Twente	16	1	3	12	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.