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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Vitesse
T U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Zwolle
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,3
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 19/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
47%
47%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
65%
Both score Ø 51%
42%
59%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 5. · Zwolle 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 3 2 +36 48
2 PSV Eindhoven 19 13 5 1 +27 44
3 Feyenoord 19 11 3 5 +15 36
4 Nijmegen 20 10 4 6 +7 34
5 Vitesse 19 9 4 6 +19 31
6 Heracles 18 9 4 5 +4 31
7 Zwolle 17 8 4 5 +7 28
8 AZ Alkmaar 20 8 4 8 +0 28
9 Groningen 19 7 7 5 -3 28
10 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 +3 23
11 Den Haag 20 5 8 7 -3 23
12 Heerenveen 19 6 5 8 -8 23
13 Willem II 20 4 7 9 -4 19
14 Roda 19 4 7 8 -16 19
15 Excelsior 19 4 5 10 -14 17
16 Twente 20 4 4 12 -23 16
17 Cambuur 20 2 7 11 -26 13
18 De Graafschap 20 3 2 15 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Oct -15 Zwolle – Vitesse 1–5

Match report

Vitesse Zwolle
41′
🔁 W. Brama
↦ Gustavo
Half-time 0–1
0–1 B. van Polen
own goal
65′
A. Dauda 🔁
↦ D. Solanke
67′
68′
D. Marcellis 0–2
S. Becker
72′
🔁 Q. Menig
↦ S. Becker
74′
🔁 B. van Hintum
↦ R. Dekker
78′
🟨 Wout Brama
D. Oliynyk 🔁
↦ I. Brown
79′
L. Baker 🔁
↦ S. Yeini
80′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
8 K. Ōta D
3 M. van der Werff D
17 K. Diks D
21 S. Yeini M
30 R. Ibarra M
18 M. Nakamba M
10 V. Qazaishvili M
7 I. Brown M
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (7)
14 A. Dauda
11 D. Oliynyk
34 L. Baker
20 D. Pantić
22 P. Velthuizen
37 G. Kashia
40 E. Lieftink

Zwolle

1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
28 T. Lam D
20 K. Ehizibue D
10 S. Nijland M
8 O. Bouy D
38 Gustavo
19 R. Dekker M
9 L. Veldwijk F
7 S. Becker F
Bench (7)
14 W. Brama
11 Q. Menig
5 B. van Hintum
18 W. Marinus
22 B. Schenkeveld
24 B. Lazic
25 B. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.