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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Ajax
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Vitesse
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 64%
78%
50%
Points per game
2,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 42%
39%
44%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,6
2,1
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 1. · Vitesse 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 18 14 2 2 +35 44
2 PSV Eindhoven 18 12 5 1 +25 41
3 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +17 36
4 Vitesse 18 9 4 5 +20 31
5 Nijmegen 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Heracles 17 9 3 5 +4 30
7 Zwolle 17 8 4 5 +7 28
8 Groningen 18 7 6 5 -3 27
9 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 AZ Alkmaar 18 6 4 8 -4 22
11 Den Haag 18 4 8 6 -2 20
12 Heerenveen 18 5 5 8 -10 20
13 Willem II 18 4 6 8 -2 18
14 Excelsior 18 4 5 9 -13 17
15 Roda 18 3 7 8 -17 16
16 Twente 18 4 4 10 -19 16
17 Cambuur 18 2 7 9 -23 13
18 De Graafschap 19 2 2 15 -23 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -15 Vitesse – Ajax 1–3

Match report

Ajax Vitesse
1–0 R. Bazoer
1′
10′
🟨 Sheran Yeini
13′
🟨 Kosuke Ota
M. van der Hoorn 🔁
↦ K. Tete
19′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Oliynyk
↦ M. Rashica
D. Sinkgraven 🔁
↦ D. van de Beek
64′
Jaïro Riedewald 🟨
70′
74′
🔁 A. Dauda
↦ D. Solanke
T. Serero 🔁
↦ R. Bazoer
81′
84′
🔁 L. Baker
↦ S. Yeini
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ajax

1 J. Cillessen G
3 J. Veltman D
23 K. Tete D
35 M. Dijks D
22 J. Riedewald D
27 N. Gudelj M
6 R. Bazoer M
30 D. van de Beek M
11 A. Younes F
9 A. Milik F
21 A. El Ghazi M
Bench (7)
4 M. van der Hoorn
8 D. Sinkgraven
25 T. Serero
7 V. Fischer
20 L. Schöne
26 N. Viergever
33 D. Boer

Vitesse

1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
8 K. Ōta D
3 M. van der Werff D
17 K. Diks D
21 S. Yeini M
26 M. Rashica F
18 M. Nakamba M
10 V. Qazaishvili M
7 I. Brown M
9 D. Solanke F
Bench (7)
11 D. Oliynyk
14 A. Dauda
34 L. Baker
20 D. Pantić
22 P. Velthuizen
37 G. Kashia
40 E. Lieftink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.